# Bay FC vs. Utah Royals FC

> Utah Royals FC leads at 45%, runner-up 28% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bay-fc-vs-utah-royals-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:43.077Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: Utah Royals FC at 45%
- Runner-up: Draw (Bay FC vs. Utah Royals FC) at 28%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Royals FC | 45¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bay-fc-vs-utah-royals-fc-utah-royals-fc-polymarket-0xcdd31d6d0889cdd50646a64f6fba9120d9d8d97af12ce8edc5e084e304a928aa |
| Draw (Bay FC vs. Utah Royals FC) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bay-fc-vs-utah-royals-fc-draw-bay-fc-vs-utah-royal-polymarket-0xeddb30c8290ecefc8746c14ace0608ca42168eb1643f455a4aa6fa3785d6de39 |
| Bay FC | 27¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bay-fc-vs-utah-royals-fc-bay-fc-polymarket-0x79c14199739aa2f8f4954c7a3888456cf80b5fc8dbec32b313624493f171e2ad |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Utah Royals FC | Draw (Bay FC vs. Utah Royals FC) | Bay FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 34 | 32 | 43 |
| 2026-05-07 | 35 | 32 | 44 |
| 2026-05-08 | 48 | 27 | 26 |
| 2026-05-09 | 45 | 27 | 27 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Bay FC −18pp 44→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Utah Royals FC +13pp 35→48¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Draw (Bay FC vs. Utah Royals FC) −5pp 32→27¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · Utah Royals FC −3pp 48→45¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability represents traders' assessment that Bay FC has a 41% chance of winning an upcoming match against Utah Royals FC, compared to a 33% chance for Utah and 31% for a draw. The current pricing reflects recent team performance, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage factors. The match outcome will be determined by the scheduled game itself, which represents the primary catalyst for resolving this contract. Key drivers of the probability include each team's current league standing, recent form in wins and losses, goalkeeper and defender availability, and historical performance in similar matchups. Any injury announcements or lineup changes in the days before the match could shift the probability significantly.

### Key factors

- Bay FC's current league position and points-per-game average compared to Utah Royals FC
- Each team's win-loss record in their last 5-10 matches entering this fixture
- Confirmed player availability, particularly any key injuries or suspensions
- Home vs. away context and historical head-to-head results between the teams
- Recent changes in coaching strategy or tactical shifts that affect defensive or offensive performance

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bay-fc-vs-utah-royals-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=bay-fc-vs-utah-royals-fc

## License

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