# Will Donovan Mitchell be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 36% across 20 contracts — refreshed 20 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bballteamusa
Updated: 2026-05-29T23:20:07.048Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 36% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-anthony-davis-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bas-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-adavis23 |
| AJ Dybantsa | 11¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-aj-dybantsa-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-baske-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-adybantsa |
| Anthony Edwards | 91¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-anthony-edwards-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-b-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-aedwards5 |
| Austin Reaves | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-austin-reaves-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bas-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-areaves15 |
| Amen Thompson | 11¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-amen-thompson-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bas-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-athompson1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 53¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bam-adebayo-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-baske-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-badebayo13 |
| Cameron Boozer | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-cameron-boozer-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-ba-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-cboozer |
| Cade Cunningham | 91¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-cade-cunningham-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-b-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-ccunningham2 |
| Cooper Flagg | 91¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-cooper-flagg-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bask-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-cflagg32 |
| Chet Holmgren | 86¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-chet-holmgren-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bas-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-cholmgren7 |
| Devin Booker | 49¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-devin-booker-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bask-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-dbooker1 |
| Donovan Clingan | 8¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-donovan-clingan-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-b-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-dclingan23 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 56¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-donovan-mitchell-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-dmitchell45 |
| Derrick White | 8¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-derrick-white-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bas-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-dwhite9 |
| Evan Mobley | 29¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-evan-mobley-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-baske-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-emobley4 |
| Jarrett Allen | 16¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jarrett-allen-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bas-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-jallen31 |
| Jaylen Brown | 29¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jaylen-brown-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bask-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-jbrown7 |
| Jalen Brunson | 16¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jalen-brunson-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-bas-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-jbrunson11 |
| Jalen Duren | 44¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jalen-duren-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-baske-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-jduren0 |
| Joel Embiid | 12¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-joel-embiid-be-selected-to-the-usa-mens-baske-kalshi-kxbballteamusa-28-jembiid21 |

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bballteamusa
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=bballteamusa

## License

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