# Will Barrett Pfeiffer finish in 2 place in Big Brother Season 28

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 4% across 19 contracts — refreshed 50 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bigbrotherrank
Updated: 2026-07-13T04:20:50.818Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Probability: 4% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $4K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yash Patel | 5¢ | −4pp | $940 | kalshi | /markets/will-yash-patel-finish-in-2-place-in-big-brother-s-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-yas |
| Rome Seymour | 3¢ | −3pp | $732 | kalshi | /markets/will-rome-seymour-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-rom |
| Kamu Kirk | 4¢ | ±0 | $551 | kalshi | /markets/will-kamu-kirk-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brother-se-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-kam |
| Ashley Trail | 3¢ | +1pp | $491 | kalshi | /markets/will-ashley-trail-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-ash |
| LaTrice Verrett | 3¢ | −2pp | $378 | kalshi | /markets/will-latrice-verrett-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brot-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-lat |
| Haley Thogmartin | 3¢ | −2pp | $275 | kalshi | /markets/will-haley-thogmartin-finish-in-3-place-in-big-bro-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-hal |
| Ashley Trail | 3¢ | −3pp | $274 | kalshi | /markets/will-ashley-trail-finish-in-2-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-ash |
| Jason De Puy | 4¢ | −1pp | $149 | kalshi | /markets/will-jason-de-puy-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-jas |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | 10¢ | ±0 | $102 | kalshi | /markets/will-barrett-pfeiffer-finish-in-2-place-in-big-bro-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-bar |
| Angela Murray | 3¢ | +2pp | $70 | kalshi | /markets/will-angela-murray-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brothe-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-ang |
| Chuk Anyanwu | 3¢ | −2pp | $40 | kalshi | /markets/will-chuk-anyanwu-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-chu |
| Drew Campbell | 3¢ | −2pp | $40 | kalshi | /markets/will-drew-campbell-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brothe-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-dre |
| Taylor Brown | 3¢ | −2pp | $36 | kalshi | /markets/will-taylor-brown-finish-in-3-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r3-tay |
| Lyric Medeiros | 4¢ | −1pp | $19 | kalshi | /markets/will-lyric-medeiros-finish-in-2-place-in-big-broth-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-lyr |
| Chuk Anyanwu | 4¢ | ±0 | $16 | kalshi | /markets/will-chuk-anyanwu-finish-in-2-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-chu |
| LaTrice Verrett | 5¢ | −1pp | $15 | kalshi | /markets/will-latrice-verrett-finish-in-2-place-in-big-brot-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-lat |
| Jason De Puy | 4¢ | −2pp | $15 | kalshi | /markets/will-jason-de-puy-finish-in-2-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-jas |
| Rome Seymour | 3¢ | ±0 | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-rome-seymour-finish-in-2-place-in-big-brother-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-rom |
| Kamu Kirk | 3¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kamu-kirk-finish-in-2-place-in-big-brother-se-kalshi-kxbigbrotherrank-26dec31r2-kam |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | 7 |
| 2026-07-13 | 4 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-07-09 · Yash Patel +5pp 7→12¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-09 · Barrett Pfeiffer +5pp 6→11¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-13 · Yash Patel −4pp 9→5¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-12 · Yash Patel −3pp 12→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-12 · Rome Seymour −3pp 6→3¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This represents the estimated likelihood that Barrett Pfeiffer will finish as the runner-up in Big Brother Season 28. The 7% probability reflects a relatively low probability of second-place finish, placing Pfeiffer among several contestants with similar odds. The current level is likely driven by the distribution of remaining houseguests still in competition and Pfeiffer's gameplay performance and social positioning relative to other finalists. The main catalyst that will resolve this uncertainty is the finale itself, when the final two houseguests are determined and voted on by the jury. Any major shifts in alliance dynamics, competitive wins, or voting patterns before the finale could meaningfully alter these odds.

### Key factors

- Barrett Pfeiffer's current status in the game (still active, on the block, or eliminated) determines whether a second-place finish remains possible
- Odds are distributed relatively evenly across multiple contestants (most around 6-13 cents), suggesting genuine uncertainty about who reaches finale
- Lyric Medeiros trades at 13 cents—the highest among these runner-up contracts—suggesting market participants view them as a stronger finalist candidate
- No trading volume in 24 hours indicates low recent activity and limited new information moving the market
- The finale date will determine when this market resolves to a definitive outcome

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bigbrotherrank
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=bigbrotherrank

## License

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