# Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/birmingham-city-fc-vs-bristol-city-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T06:35:29.124Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 8 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $214

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi City FC | 28¢ | −13pp | $124 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-tochigi-city-fc-polymarket-0x2031740085ebc05d9a09dcbbd2271fa79045d7d10bc8224b9820b31d8f4acc92 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | +8pp | $90 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd165f0be07f5e0f8d9c9531860a4288aa0971cf6dcfa9f6f3666f8f7277681c8 |
| Montevideo City Torque (-2.5) | 10¢ | −18pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-more-market-polymarket-0x6a797bf8b5dd92506e10f9e447f2ca3c7e6d68cf2feba73a04d721f2dc17580f |
| O/U 3.5 | 35¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x087e96b348af724088fc5c0c9620932971bbee21079bd0619bac94f9d8554031 |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0e25b551a118495f7e2c433fd68e6e53fcf38d6641d1723c648e6161691a6674 |
| Yokohama FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | −29pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x63f37e77be6ee67b7a2136a946b8e213b3e172b4af30e83a2706e476c714c527 |
| CD Palestino | 22¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-cd-palestin-polymarket-0x3299d6bee2481093d7ef9a78adeadd03771f46740c1e9780b2881d52ab08ce11 |
| New York City FC (-1.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ne-polymarket-0x52ecc53ae751a4a04406a38d2eae3d0bb5c00a4010daf306acb60d6c2f391539 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 41 |
| 2026-05-03 | 38 |
| 2026-05-06 | 32 |
| 2026-05-07 | 33 |
| 2026-05-08 | 50 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Yokohama FC (-2.5) −29pp 38→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Montevideo City Torque (-2.5) −18pp 18→0¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Tochigi City FC −16pp 50→34¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Tochigi City FC −13pp 34→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · CD Palestino −11pp 26→15¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/birmingham-city-fc-vs-bristol-city-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=birmingham-city-fc-vs-bristol-city-fc

## License

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