# Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 49% across 13 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/birmingham-city-fc-vs-preston-north-end-fc-more-markets-ou
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:50:56.160Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 49% (liquidity-weighted across 13 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 47% / Polymarket 69% — 22pp spread
- 24h volume: $152K

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shifters | 94¢ | +3pp | $45K | kalshi | /markets/will-shifters-win-the-shifters-vs-team-heretics-le-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031100shftth-shft |
| LOS | 55¢ | +11pp | $27K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-win-the-los-vs-fluxo-w7m-league-of-legend-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031200losflu-los |
| Natus Vincere | 21¢ | −2pp | $26K | kalshi | /markets/will-natus-vincere-win-the-natus-vincere-vs-g2-esp-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031315navig2-navi |
| Fluxo W7M | 42¢ | −1pp | $26K | kalshi | /markets/will-fluxo-w7m-win-the-los-vs-fluxo-w7m-league-of-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031200losflu-flu |
| G2 Esports | 76¢ | +5pp | $18K | kalshi | /markets/will-g2-esports-win-the-natus-vincere-vs-g2-esport-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031315navig2-g2 |
| LYON | 63¢ | +3pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-lyon-win-the-sentinels-vs-lyon-league-of-lege-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031600senly-ly |
| Sentinels | 35¢ | −3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-sentinels-win-the-sentinels-vs-lyon-league-of-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031600senly-sen |
| FlyQuest | 73¢ | ±0 | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-flyquest-win-the-shopify-rebellion-vs-flyques-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031900srfly-fly |
| Zero Tenacity | 8¢ | +3pp | $944 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-z10 |
| KT Rolster Challengers | 61¢ | +24pp | $543 | kalshi | /markets/will-kt-rolster-challengers-win-the-drx-challenger-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may040300drxcktc-ktc |
| Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | 69¢ | +7pp | $364 | polymarket | /markets/pep-guardiola-out-as-manchester-city-manager-by-th-polymarket-0x6695d4275bc981644db15f57032fc81b9b7aba6f7eb7f392264381ff099b800a |
| DRX Challengers | 36¢ | +11pp | $301 | kalshi | /markets/will-drx-challengers-win-the-drx-challengers-vs-kt-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may040300drxcktc-drxc |
| Preston North End | 3¢ | −5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-preston-north-end-be-promoted-from-the-efl-ch-kalshi-kxeflpromo-26-pne |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 58 |
| 2026-04-19 | 51 |
| 2026-04-26 | 25 |
| 2026-05-03 | 50 |

_23 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · KT Rolster Challengers +24pp 35→59¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · KT Rolster Challengers +20pp 15→35¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? +18pp 47→65¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-01 · Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? +15pp 55→70¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-29 · Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? −12pp 65→53¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/birmingham-city-fc-vs-preston-north-end-fc-more-markets-ou
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=birmingham-city-fc-vs-preston-north-end-fc-more-markets-ou

## License

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