# Blaublitz Akita vs. Montedio Yamagata

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/blaublitz-akita-vs-montedio-yamagata
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:35:24.955Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc26872899f3bb280f768daa4b24340eefcd3e924616c27e97fe754db78535101 |
| Draw (Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma) | 35¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-draw-montedio-ya-polymarket-0x278ee235cb895726835eeec20b13e099114a34ea505952c76b11540b3ce8b2ff |
| Thespa Gunma (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-the-polymarket-0xa980d10a592f891e94f3c9e054856ca18d8b4366d3ef3083af9f2cf89e0029b1 |
| SC Sagamihara | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-sc-sagamihara-polymarket-0x091c2cc576e2e8481bf3d09f9ff88aa6831cc324b53c9cd4c9059f27eeb56a2b |
| Thespa Gunma (-2.5) | 34¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-the-polymarket-0xf0472b72ea8a9953d1d21b5fe997a73300e0f2f19e02ae3d86bc2222f77099af |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x68f5fbb3a2afbfa74b1d32d31d8d64b137044de765a06e409ffdb537d23fba0a |
| SC Sagamihara (-1.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-sc-s-polymarket-0xb700dd946bf3b507b6f856fe76f875b830236e074b3f20e2667f2e8fc8b81d5e |
| Blaublitz Akita (-2.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-blau-polymarket-0xc9e19c58713ed897cf70e1c1e516748769e94b5a00c8c1627022447359660bb4 |
| SC Sagamihara (-2.5) | 34¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-sc-s-polymarket-0xa862ed33dbb3fc2893b2b841c9e70c58e1d38381e686961cd5bcb5d40b3c0185 |
| Montedio Yamagata (-1.5) | 32¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-mon-polymarket-0xc6b29b6ccedb7686c8fccf7d6a8d85ec1e79beae7acd56da8e816a761267917b |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xf9c84381843b80450cbda142e07bc4b95e02a0a142b2a6e5c5bf3803d9f48a5a |
| Blaublitz Akita | 43¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-blaublitz-akita-polymarket-0xa385c90c961d5c0cad2d65facdc5ace0760c7863b024fa36cad1c0918e52feb8 |
| Thespa Gunma | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-thespa-gunma-polymarket-0x1003b54bfec9e8a605fa41c7bd7e8b086cc4e5c96db6d4250a16cdbf0b51e57f |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-both-polymarket-0x78f9416cbce73989782cdeba5e15b4b99da3105e7a0c662592a6363e2472ce45 |
| Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara) | 35¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-draw-blaublitz-ak-polymarket-0x8268d806a441238b2407aaafe9f42597512fe9046d37882166f9954c614f37f8 |
| Montedio Yamagata | 49¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-montedio-yamagat-polymarket-0x16f4ac10b455aeed267b92b4a5a582c3801266d163f2efd32fe4cdb25f8432bb |
| Blaublitz Akita (-1.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-blau-polymarket-0x0a2d110c393d985f5c6380dc54d8de37420def2f144449934297242e2b70a06a |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montedio-yamagata-vs-thespa-gunma-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xda0ea1b669fd6281e67c2f7debf289881de763bfb3598afef4fb3494f629f5e3 |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-ou-1-polymarket-0xb586da709b1950c194457c6e8207886d244713d80e031c2773099d08803a85d1 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x72dcd3013b00b31b136a6b4f32dc5561863c8dc970e13bfcfd8dae4b04589505 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 39 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara) −8pp 35→27¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Thespa Gunma (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Draw (Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma) +3pp 37→40¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Thespa Gunma +3pp 37→40¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Montedio Yamagata +3pp 44→47¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/blaublitz-akita-vs-montedio-yamagata
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=blaublitz-akita-vs-montedio-yamagata
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

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