# Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara

> Blaublitz Akita leads at 44%, runner-up 36% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:35:51.440Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: Blaublitz Akita at 44%
- Runner-up: SC Sagamihara at 36%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaublitz Akita | 44¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-blaublitz-akita-polymarket-0xa385c90c961d5c0cad2d65facdc5ace0760c7863b024fa36cad1c0918e52feb8 |
| SC Sagamihara | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-sc-sagamihara-polymarket-0x091c2cc576e2e8481bf3d09f9ff88aa6831cc324b53c9cd4c9059f27eeb56a2b |
| Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara) | 34¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara-draw-blaublitz-ak-polymarket-0x8268d806a441238b2407aaafe9f42597512fe9046d37882166f9954c614f37f8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Blaublitz Akita | SC Sagamihara | Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 44 | 41 | 35 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 | 41 | 27 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara) −8pp 35→27¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 41% probability reflects market expectations that SC Sagamihara will win against Blaublitz Akita in an upcoming Japanese football match. The assessment incorporates several market signals: a 41% direct win probability for SC Sagamihara, concurrent over/under markets suggesting low-scoring outcomes (50% of traders expect under 2.5 goals), and a 51% probability both teams score. The probability would shift upward if SC Sagamihara shows strong recent form or if Blaublitz Akita's roster changes. It would move downward if Blaublitz Akita generates offensive momentum or if SC Sagamihara experiences defensive vulnerabilities. The uncertainty will resolve when the match is played, with the outcome determined by standard football rules and official record.

### Key factors

- Market assigns 41% win probability to SC Sagamihara versus 38% implied probability for Blaublitz Akita to cover a -1.5 spread, suggesting relatively balanced competitive expectations
- Over/Under 2.5 goals market prices at 50% and O/U 4.5 at 33%, indicating trader consensus expects low-scoring match, which constrains win probability variance
- Both Teams to Score market at 51% suggests traders expect each team will likely score at least one goal, affecting outcome distribution across win/draw scenarios
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all contracts indicates thin market liquidity and limited price discovery, so current odds may not reflect recent form or team news
- Match resolution depends on standard professional football rules and official match records from the organizing league

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=blaublitz-akita-vs-sc-sagamihara

## License

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