# BNB price on Apr 21, 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 20 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bnb
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:21:00.750Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 33% / Polymarket 26% — 7pp spread
- 24h volume: $277

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above 0% | 9¢ | +4pp | $88 | kalshi | /markets/will-egg-prices-rise-by-more-than-0-in-apr-2026-ab-kalshi-kxeggs-apr26-0 |
| ↓ 300 | 24¢ | +1pp | $65 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-bnb-hit-in-2026-300-polymarket-0xdb891dcb952d1c56e0c1a2520f4d6f3bca86404dd8c030eec7b255dd0031d56d |
| Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?: Above 304.0ㅤ | 61¢ | +14pp | $59 | kalshi | /markets/will-consumer-price-index-for-all-urban-consumers-kalshi-kxairfarecpi-26may12-t304.0 |
| ↓ 200 | 13¢ | −1pp | $34 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-bnb-hit-in-2026-200-polymarket-0x1b3b0ec31706959c563acb759df21db7140906955d2e36400f94e07da04efbb3 |
| Above 4.4% | 37¢ | ±0 | $20 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t4.4 |
| Above 4.0% | 65¢ | −22pp | $6 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t4.0 |
| ↓ 500 | 77¢ | −8pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-bnb-hit-in-2026-500-polymarket-0x3d82b513a77fc0c0144e9257387a9e84812f1b02174c2d3d7efba3fc8b974857 |
| ↑ 1500 | 8¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-bnb-hit-in-2026-1500-polymarket-0x9910304902d0375ab78a94167862830f34da5c0f11477819343ae6ed43a14c63 |
| ↑ 1400 | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-bnb-hit-in-2026-1400-polymarket-0x82928ab9e35c041842b7d6a6ca45a9722934967a4368c49c85152e3dc214f5c0 |
| Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 6.80ㅤ?: Above 6.80ㅤ | 13¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-united-states-average-price-ground-beef-100-b-kalshi-kxusgbeef-26may12-t6.80 |
| $520 or above | 13¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bnb-price-on-may-3-2026-520-or-above-kalshi-kxbnbd-26may0317-t519.99 |
| Above 3.4% | 88¢ | −25pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t3.4 |
| Above 5.0% | 3¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t5.0 |
| $535 or above | 13¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bnb-price-on-may-3-2026-535-or-above-kalshi-kxbnbd-26may0317-t534.99 |
| Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 302.0ㅤ?: Above 302.0ㅤ | 72¢ | +23pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-consumer-price-index-for-all-urban-consumers-kalshi-kxairfarecpi-26may12-t302.0 |
| $525 or above | 13¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bnb-price-on-may-3-2026-525-or-above-kalshi-kxbnbd-26may0317-t524.99 |
| Above 4.2% | 53¢ | +24pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t4.2 |
| $545 or above | 13¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bnb-price-on-may-3-2026-545-or-above-kalshi-kxbnbd-26may0317-t544.99 |
| $540 or above | 13¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bnb-price-on-may-3-2026-540-or-above-kalshi-kxbnbd-26may0317-t539.99 |
| Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 308.0ㅤ?: Above 308.0ㅤ | 25¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-consumer-price-index-for-all-urban-consumers-kalshi-kxairfarecpi-26may12-t308.0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 27 |
| 2026-04-19 | 26 |
| 2026-04-26 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 8 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-29 · Above 3.4% +31pp 58→89¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Above 4.2% −26pp 56→30¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Above 3.4% −25pp 89→64¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · ↑ 1400 +24pp 11→35¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-29 · ↑ 1400 −24pp 35→11¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bnb
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=bnb

## License

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