# Will BNB trimmed mean be below $540.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026

> Below $600.00 leads at 45%, runner-up 35% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bnbminmon-bnb
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:42.737Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Below $600.00 at 45%
- Runner-up: Below $590.00 at 35%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $168

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $600.00 | 45¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-60000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-60000 |
| Below $590.00 | 35¢ | +4pp | $44 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-59000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-59000 |
| Below $580.00 | 27¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-58000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-58000 |
| Below $570.00 | 19¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-57000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-57000 |
| Below $560.00 | 13¢ | +1pp | $124 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-56000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-56000 |
| Below $550.00 | 9¢ | −7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-55000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-55000 |
| Below $540.00 | 5¢ | −10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-54000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-54000 |
| Below $530.00 | 3¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bnb-trimmed-mean-be-below-53000-by-1159-pm-et-kalshi-kxbnbminmon-bnb-26may31-53000 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Below $600.00 | Below $590.00 | Below $580.00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 66 | 47 | 47 |
| 2026-05-02 | 87 | — | — |
| 2026-05-09 | 45 | 36 | 28 |

_7 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Below $600.00 −27pp 80→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Below $590.00 −25pp 70→45¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Below $580.00 −25pp 60→35¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Below $590.00 +23pp 47→70¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Below $570.00 −23pp 49→26¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bnbminmon-bnb
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=bnbminmon-bnb

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.