# Bolivia LFPB

> Winner: Nacional Potosí leads at 49%, runner-up 49% across 16 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bolivia-lfpb
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:39.531Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Leader: Winner: Nacional Potosí at 49%
- Runner-up: Winner: Guabirá at 49%
- Outcomes: 16 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner: Nacional Potosí | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-nacional-potos-polymarket-0xca9709c76d5cae9f9995c340f58afa6b484796cb802bb227bf945d33d8ff3eb6 |
| Winner: Guabirá | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-guabir-polymarket-0x78d2471166a38e13699eed9368c75d91fea29525eea26dbfb11f310992b3cce7 |
| Winner: GV San Jose | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-gv-san-jose-polymarket-0x4bad639e9be91faecdc984d7654f9adf23085c268ae249ae520efcb297172b99 |
| Winner: Oriente Petrolero | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-oriente-petrolero-polymarket-0x413b39aff8cff373a0c2f77c99be6178bc04bb004c792f7d06861b7bd97c2fcc |
| Winner: The Strongest | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-the-strongest-polymarket-0xfdfdda08d010497ee583bc0d7c2f87c7626d6ddb375929bb3eeebf2d54a8fcbe |
| Winner: Real Tomayapo | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-real-tomayapo-polymarket-0x70814fa1ed68d90b9bc3e5ebc0e5992f7741e14b9e2d40764f4ece4dc70c56dd |
| Winner: Blooming | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-blooming-polymarket-0x6ced30af5cbd1ff32fd40d7c47e7db05c4448ffb6f3b7c5eace94db76447b0ad |
| Winner: ABB | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-abb-polymarket-0xf6c34704d4e5c1c003e84f90877ffb107e41bea2592e072db05634bba3ed6429 |
| Winner: Bolívar | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-bolvar-polymarket-0x9cf27f838139f4fac7006193288122216e88410fb63c15ff11bc29a19c0f8ad9 |
| Winner: Indipendiente Petrolero | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-indipendiente-petrolero-polymarket-0xce66517f02ec82983800d42cf9c4fc4a030f8ff02ecc890014f9c5d7c4e54d8b |
| Winner: Real Potosí | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-real-potos-polymarket-0x9e89781fdd957290102979979de5e2ff5977e9de54776958f9de771f1b908ea8 |
| Winner: Real Oruro | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-real-oruro-polymarket-0xad52de7a04f96a005b28ee817999de4e3159b7fa00138de325944b74074561a8 |
| Winner: Always Ready | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-always-ready-polymarket-0x18d26e2dc99a4980b1cba9dcdaae099c87588ebd62b919aaed19c23b92012e62 |
| Winner: Aurora | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-aurora-polymarket-0x66b1d3adac700a5602df4bc6e50ac6f393cdb9f9aa7f1284d7ac8e1d46c42842 |
| Winner: Bulo Bulo | 48¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-bulo-bulo-polymarket-0x2f0aade5798b70ebd459374e12bb81fef7d3513a5ed57cecd0ab35bcebcb1626 |
| Winner: Universitario de Vinto | 48¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/bolivia-lfpb-winner-universitario-de-vinto-polymarket-0x2c90686e814fe8d19a04645c2331a6bfbbd488be77c009290ac7c6b1429e97c9 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Winner: Nacional Potosí | Winner: Guabirá | Winner: GV San Jose |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 49 | — | — |
| 2026-04-26 | 49 | — | 49 |
| 2026-04-27 | — | 49 | 49 |
| 2026-05-02 | 49 | 49 | 49 |
| 2026-05-09 | 48 | 48 | 48 |

_13 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability represents the market's assessment that Bulo Bulo will win the Bolivia LFPB championship. The current 50% price reflects a highly fragmented betting market where five teams are priced identically, suggesting either genuine uncertainty about the likely winner or thin liquidity across contracts with no recent trading volume. The championship outcome will depend on the teams' relative performance in remaining fixtures, head-to-head records, and any late-season injuries or roster changes. The final standings and champion will be determined when the LFPB season concludes, at which point the winner will be definitively established. Movement in this probability would reflect either new information about team form, personnel changes, or increased market participation that consolidates views on the most likely winner.

### Key factors

- All five contracts are priced equally at 50 cents, indicating perfectly balanced odds rather than differentiated conviction
- 24-hour trading volume across all contracts is zero, suggesting minimal recent market activity or liquidity
- The multi-outcome structure distributes probability evenly, which could indicate either genuine parity in team strength or insufficient data to favor any single outcome
- Bulo Bulo's status as the display leader is based on contract order rather than higher probability than the four other teams
- Final resolution depends on the actual championship winner when the LFPB season concludes, with no intermediate data points provided

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bolivia-lfpb
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=bolivia-lfpb

## License

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