# Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 20 contracts — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/botafogo-fr-vs-club-independiente-petrolero-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:50:57.066Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2b4c203ee2416f623ef5a437c78f209eb46f9098b7f83d71398fe0a77697150c |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2900cda63ccf8446260c73cf1b9df5856807e372da1671c801a15d5a47f9928a |
| Caracas FC (-1.5) | 16¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x3ac6cbc94da39619fd7200b4e617781d5606050eadcf700c4b4158de539ccb5b |
| Club Independiente Petrolero (-2.5) | 13¢ | +9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x378f7bb17664bc82a0bd26b44c81d55ee6768163a8ac2315ec6fd13548fb5bbb |
| Caracas FC (-2.5) | 12¢ | +9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x757589e8106cd811104f85abbf6ebfcde58ace08e7f6a1e30afa86d26f274a25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x14b9f0b75de481288e5696ef8208314306908fed4822f4be97d648c96bb28346 |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xf89db8c4101101525d3148e7e47b1f40ef3ddbcc210752d9ab4e54aa7dbeaff8 |
| Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5) | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xc0f87e41146ade8ca73fa35afe69f2f7ad1d7776144a3bc83223d216800e3cf8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x3dd944ec7d753f64394be1d81d7d6847f361d7994eb9e1ac4737e97daafdaba5 |
| Club Independiente Petrolero | 39¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-club-in-polymarket-0xdbb8be9423d446d15d9166f33a46973746e78cbc3df63eeeecf5cce044a8cf08 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc91f8e08309e1027dabc6b2cda81f406f89051e264358b7bd9aea303ff73fc4a |
| Botafogo FR (-1.5) | 21¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-botafogo-f-polymarket-0xd6abb87ba0ae1a681305a13dbb470174bb33f26fe69013668ac49d89df162411 |
| Racing Club (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-racing-clu-polymarket-0xc988a4434c1b06d250ae5edd9945b7d6f9a0a6027145f8c268ec1f6b992e7704 |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xd61678fa4fcefd059e3ba900fe3e6fea3c2fc0339c7dc74dc06327cafaefcc29 |
| Racing Club (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-racing-clu-polymarket-0x15e436257d2a94c17744fc777abb55ec9373f67f1587cd55fa8a7f6c22a084a3 |
| Botafogo FR (-2.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-botafogo-f-polymarket-0x50a3e558463a15a07f4a2cf28e50c9f22ed79f5575401475ea57e33d93a4ff1a |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x9bdf90f99d362aeb78ea9a8c83a91588de737a96a2b6ef02f29aaab646ee2be9 |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x5c8e4184d6f4024ab811a8317c5df79cc5beca815221eaca6fae9d323d39b6f1 |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x32d4ab3bd3997a305ae20a572bdf97c7dcabb1f001475fb23cd632c4697e3c4b |
| Caracas FC | 34¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-independiente-petrolero-vs-caracas-fc-caracas-polymarket-0xcdfe02246fe3bb6c482a787b20a852a887381e17742c064ffbc987e49e51cef4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 36 |
| 2026-05-02 | 31 |
| 2026-05-03 | 26 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Club Independiente Petrolero (-2.5) +9pp 12→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Caracas FC (-2.5) +9pp 12→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Caracas FC (-1.5) +8pp 20→28¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/botafogo-fr-vs-club-independiente-petrolero-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=botafogo-fr-vs-club-independiente-petrolero-more-markets

## License

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