# Chapecoense at Fluminense

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 35% across 19 contracts — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/brasileirototal
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:20:57.577Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 35% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $916

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 39¢ | +2pp | $515 | kalshi | /markets/corinthians-at-mirassol-totals-over-25-goals-score-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03mircor-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 27¢ | +1pp | $88 | kalshi | /markets/vasco-da-gama-at-flamengo-totals-over-35-goals-sco-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03flavdg-3 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 43¢ | +2pp | $85 | kalshi | /markets/fluminense-at-internacional-totals-over-25-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03intflu-2 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 47¢ | +3pp | $67 | kalshi | /markets/bragantino-at-chapecoense-totals-over-25-goals-sco-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03charbb-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 20¢ | +1pp | $66 | kalshi | /markets/corinthians-at-mirassol-totals-over-35-goals-score-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03mircor-3 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 50¢ | +1pp | $58 | kalshi | /markets/vasco-da-gama-at-flamengo-totals-over-25-goals-sco-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03flavdg-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 20¢ | +2pp | $31 | kalshi | /markets/fluminense-at-internacional-totals-over-35-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03intflu-3 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 66¢ | +3pp | $3 | kalshi | /markets/corinthians-at-mirassol-totals-over-15-goals-score-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03mircor-1 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 12¢ | ±0 | $1 | kalshi | /markets/vasco-da-gama-at-flamengo-totals-over-45-goals-sco-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03flavdg-4 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 11¢ | +1pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/bragantino-at-chapecoense-totals-over-45-goals-sco-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03charbb-4 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 73¢ | +3pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/bahia-at-sao-paulo-totals-over-15-goals-scored-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03spabah-1 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 73¢ | +3pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/bragantino-at-chapecoense-totals-over-15-goals-sco-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may03charbb-1 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 55¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/paranaense-at-vasco-da-gama-totals-over-15-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may10vdgcap-1 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 39¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/paranaense-at-vasco-da-gama-totals-over-25-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may10vdgcap-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 9¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/paranaense-at-vasco-da-gama-totals-over-35-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may10vdgcap-3 |
| Totals: Over 4.5 goals scored | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/paranaense-at-vasco-da-gama-totals-over-45-goals-s-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may10vdgcap-4 |
| Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored | 23¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/flamengo-at-gremio-totals-over-15-goals-scored-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may10gpafla-1 |
| Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored | 40¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/flamengo-at-gremio-totals-over-25-goals-scored-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may10gpafla-2 |
| Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/flamengo-at-gremio-totals-over-35-goals-scored-kalshi-kxbrasileirototal-26may10gpafla-3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | 20 |
| 2026-05-03 | 32 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-28 · Totals: Over 1.5 goals scored +36pp 32→68¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored +34pp 15→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored +26pp 17→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Totals: Over 3.5 goals scored +21pp 6→27¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Totals: Over 2.5 goals scored +17pp 21→38¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/brasileirototal
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=brasileirototal

## License

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