# Will the brent crude oil close price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

> Closed. Final outcome: above $91.99. Last odds frozen 2 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/brentw
Updated: 2026-06-05T19:20:12.252Z
Category: markets · Topic: oil
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-05

## Headline

- Leader: above $87.99 at 97%
- Runner-up: above $85.99 at 97%
- Outcomes: 12 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $27K
- Resolved: above $91.99

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $87.99 | 97¢ | ±0 | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-8799-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t87.99 |
| above $85.99 | 97¢ | +1pp | $56 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-8599-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t85.99 |
| above $81.99 | 97¢ | ±0 | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-8199-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t81.99 |
| above $89.99 | 96¢ | +3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-8999-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t89.99 |
| above $71.99 | 96¢ | ±0 | $618 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-7199-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t71.99 |
| above $91.99 | 89¢ | +4pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-9199-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t91.99 |
| above $93.99 | 69¢ | +3pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-9399-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t93.99 |
| above $95.99 | 40¢ | −4pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-9599-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t95.99 |
| above $97.99 | 16¢ | −11pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-9799-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t97.99 |
| above $107.99 | 5¢ | −1pp | $500 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-1079-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t107.99 |
| above $99.99 | 4¢ | −11pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-9999-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t99.99 |
| above $101.99 | 3¢ | −5pp | $798 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-1019-kalshi-kxbrentw-26jun0517-t101.99 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | above $87.99 | above $85.99 | above $81.99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | 70 | 82 | 92 |
| 2026-06-01 | 83 | 90 | 95 |
| 2026-06-04 | 96 | 97 | 98 |
| 2026-06-05 | — | — | 98 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-01 · above $97.99 +21pp 13→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-03 · above $93.99 +20pp 54→74¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-03 · above $91.99 +20pp 67→87¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-04 · above $97.99 −19pp 46→27¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-01 · above $95.99 +19pp 21→40¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/brentw
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=brentw
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/oil

## License

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