# Will Dutch Bros Monthly Foot Traffic for August 2026 be above 110

> Above 100 leads at 92%, runner-up 89% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 20 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/brosft
Updated: 2026-08-26T16:21:46.401Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-09-07

## Headline

- Leader: Above 100 at 92%
- Runner-up: Above 102 at 89%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 100 | 92¢ | −88pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t100 |
| Above 102 | 89¢ | −85pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t102 |
| Above 104 | 83¢ | −78pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t104 |
| Above 106 | 83¢ | −71pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t106 |
| Above 108 | 61¢ | −56pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t108 |
| Above 110 | 28¢ | −28pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t110 |
| Above 112 | 13¢ | −12pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t112 |
| Above 114 | 6¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t114 |
| Above 116 | 3¢ | −10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dutch-bros-monthly-foot-traffic-for-august-20-kalshi-kxbrosft-26sep07-t116 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 100 | Above 102 | Above 104 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 49 | 49 | 49 |
| 2026-08-12 | 73 | 71 | 65 |
| 2026-08-19 | 69 | 67 | 61 |
| 2026-08-25 | 4 | 4 | 4 |

_17 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-08-25 · Above 100 −88pp 92→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-08-25 · Above 102 −85pp 89→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-08-25 · Above 104 −78pp 82→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-08-25 · Above 106 −71pp 75→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-08-25 · Above 108 −56pp 60→4¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market estimates a 51% probability that Dutch Bros will achieve monthly foot traffic above 110 in August 2026, based on aggregated contract prices from Kalshi. The prediction reflects uncertainty about whether the coffee chain's customer visits will exceed this threshold during the month. Key drivers include Dutch Bros' historical traffic patterns, any seasonal fluctuations typical in August, and recent comparable store performance. The market shows relatively tight clustering across thresholds (100-108), suggesting traders view outcomes in the 100-110 range as most likely. Resolution depends on Dutch Bros' official reporting of August foot traffic metrics, which would typically be disclosed in quarterly earnings or specific traffic reports following month-end. Low trading volume across all contracts indicates limited recent market activity and potentially wider uncertainty bands than prices alone suggest.

### Key factors

- Dutch Bros' reported foot traffic for July 2026 and prior months provides a baseline for assessing whether August would exceed 110
- Seasonal traffic patterns in coffee retail, particularly August weather and consumer behavior trends, would influence whether this threshold is reached
- The clustering of contract prices (52¢ for the 102-106 range, 47¢ for 108) indicates market consensus centers near 100-108, making 110 a marginal outcome
- Zero trading volume in the past 24 hours suggests limited recent conviction or new information flowing into these prices
- The specific threshold of 110 sits only marginally above the 104-106 range where traders show 52¢ confidence, indicating this represents an incremental, not dramatic, performance level

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/brosft
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=brosft

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.