# Bitcoin price on Apr 21, 2026

> $55,000 or above leads at 91%, runner-up 89% across 19 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 40 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/btcd
Updated: 2026-06-08T03:20:10.919Z
Category: crypto · Topic: bitcoin
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-12

## Headline

- Leader: $55,000 or above at 91%
- Runner-up: $56,000 or above at 89%
- Outcomes: 19 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $376K
- Resolved: $75,000 or above

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $55,000 or above | 91¢ | +5pp | $18K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-55000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t54999.99 |
| $56,000 or above | 89¢ | +4pp | $11K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-56000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t55999.99 |
| $56,500 or above | 87¢ | +2pp | $24K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-56500-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t56499.99 |
| $59,000 or above | 83¢ | +5pp | $851 | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-59000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t58999.99 |
| $60,000 or above | 77¢ | +7pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-60000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t59999.99 |
| $60,500 or above | 75¢ | +8pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-60500-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t60499.99 |
| $61,000 or above | 71¢ | +6pp | $78K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-61000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t60999.99 |
| $61,500 or above | 65¢ | +6pp | $42K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-61500-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t61499.99 |
| $62,000 or above | 61¢ | +7pp | $53K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-62000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t61999.99 |
| $62,500 or above | 57¢ | +7pp | $17K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-62500-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t62499.99 |
| $63,000 or above | 51¢ | +5pp | $16K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-63000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t62999.99 |
| $63,500 or above | 47¢ | +4pp | $13K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-63500-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t63499.99 |
| $64,000 or above | 44¢ | +5pp | $10K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-64000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t63999.99 |
| $64,500 or above | 39¢ | +4pp | $15K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-64500-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t64499.99 |
| $65,000 or above | 33¢ | +4pp | $7K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-65000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t64999.99 |
| $65,500 or above | 28¢ | +3pp | $9K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-65500-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t65499.99 |
| $66,000 or above | 24¢ | +2pp | $23K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-66000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t65999.99 |
| $71,000 or above | 5¢ | −2pp | $9K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-71000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t70999.99 |
| $72,000 or above | 5¢ | −1pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/bitcoin-price-on-jun-12-2026-72000-or-above-kalshi-kxbtcd-26jun1217-t71999.99 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | $55,000 or above | $56,000 or above | $56,500 or above |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 71 | 71 | 73 |
| 2026-06-06 | 83 | 82 | 79 |
| 2026-06-07 | 88 | 86 | 81 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-06 · $55,000 or above +12pp 71→83¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-06 · $56,000 or above +11pp 71→82¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · $60,500 or above +8pp 53→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · $62,000 or above +7pp 40→47¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · $62,500 or above +7pp 34→41¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/btcd
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=btcd
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/bitcoin

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.