# Will BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026

> Above $75,000.00 leads at 6%, runner-up 5% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 51 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/btcmaxmon-btc
Updated: 2026-06-09T23:20:09.085Z
Category: crypto · Topic: bitcoin
Status: active
Closes: 2026-07-01

## Headline

- Leader: Above $75,000.00 at 6%
- Runner-up: Above $77,500.00 at 5%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $30K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $75,000.00 | 6¢ | −3pp | $14K | kalshi | /markets/will-btc-trimmed-mean-be-above-7500000-by-1159-pm-kalshi-kxbtcmaxmon-btc-26jun30-7500000 |
| Above $77,500.00 | 5¢ | −1pp | $15K | kalshi | /markets/will-btc-trimmed-mean-be-above-7750000-by-1159-pm-kalshi-kxbtcmaxmon-btc-26jun30-7750000 |
| Above $80,000.00 | 3¢ | ±0 | $902 | kalshi | /markets/will-btc-trimmed-mean-be-above-8000000-by-1159-pm-kalshi-kxbtcmaxmon-btc-26jun30-8000000 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above $75,000.00 | Above $77,500.00 | Above $80,000.00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | 49 | 32 | 18 |
| 2026-06-03 | 26 | 14 | 8 |
| 2026-06-09 | 10 | 6 | 4 |

_9 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-03 · Above $75,000.00 −14pp 40→26¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-04 · Above $75,000.00 −12pp 26→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-03 · Above $77,500.00 −9pp 23→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-04 · Above $77,500.00 −5pp 14→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-05 · Above $77,500.00 −3pp 9→6¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/btcmaxmon-btc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=btcmaxmon-btc
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/bitcoin

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.