# Will Webull Corporation report above 5.1 million Funded Accounts in Q1 2026

> Above 5.1 million leads at 90%, runner-up 81% across 10 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 56 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bull
Updated: 2026-08-10T15:20:49.794Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-03-10

## Headline

- Leader: Above 5.1 million at 90%
- Runner-up: Above 5.15 million at 81%
- Outcomes: 10 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (10 contracts)
- 24h volume: $57
- Resolved: above 5.05 million

## Bound contracts (10)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.1 million | 90¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-51-million-funded-ac-kalshi-kxbull-26augfunded-5100000.0 |
| Above 5.15 million | 81¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-515-million-funded-a-kalshi-kxbull-26novfunded-5150000.0 |
| Above 5.2 million | 75¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-52-million-funded-ac-kalshi-kxbull-26novfunded-5200000.0 |
| Above 5.15 million | 73¢ | −2pp | $52 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-515-million-funded-a-kalshi-kxbull-26augfunded-5150000.0 |
| Above 5.25 million | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-525-million-funded-a-kalshi-kxbull-26novfunded-5250000.0 |
| Above 5.2 million | 46¢ | ±0 | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-52-million-funded-ac-kalshi-kxbull-26augfunded-5200000.0 |
| Above 5.3 million | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-53-million-funded-ac-kalshi-kxbull-26novfunded-5300000.0 |
| Above 5.35 million | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-535-million-funded-a-kalshi-kxbull-26novfunded-5350000.0 |
| Above 5.25 million | 17¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-525-million-funded-a-kalshi-kxbull-26augfunded-5250000.0 |
| Above 5.4 million | 13¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-webull-corp-report-above-54-million-funded-ac-kalshi-kxbull-26novfunded-5400000.0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 5.1 million | Above 5.15 million | Above 5.2 million |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | 90 | — | — |
| 2026-07-26 | 90 | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | 91 | 81 | 63 |
| 2026-08-02 | — | 81 | 74 |
| 2026-08-03 | 90 | 80 | — |
| 2026-08-09 | 91 | 81 | 75 |
| 2026-08-10 | 90 | — | — |

_28 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

Prediction markets currently price a 94% probability that Webull Corporation will report above 5.1 million funded accounts when it releases Q1 2026 financial results. This high confidence reflects the company's recent growth trajectory and existing account base, though traders show declining certainty as the threshold increases—only 26% odds for exceeding 5.25 million accounts. The outcome hinges on whether Webull sustained its user acquisition pace through early 2026 or faced headwinds from market volatility or competitive pressures. Resolution depends entirely on Webull's official Q1 earnings report or investor disclosure, which typically occurs in April or May following quarter-end. The wide spread between contract prices (from 26¢ to 94¢) indicates material uncertainty about the upper bounds of account growth, even while the base case appears likely.

### Key factors

- Webull's historical account growth rate and whether the company maintained quarterly net additions through Q1 2026
- Market conditions in early 2026 affecting retail trading participation and brokerage account openings
- Competitive dynamics with other zero-commission brokers and whether Webull gained or lost market share
- The specific definition and measurement methodology Webull uses for 'funded accounts' in official disclosures
- The timing and exact content of Webull's Q1 2026 earnings announcement, including whether account figures are independently verified

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/bull
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=bull

## License

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