# CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)

> Closed. Last odds frozen 2 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca-barracas-central-vs-club-olimpia-more-markets-ca
Updated: 2026-05-07T00:35:50.121Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: CA Barracas Central (-1.5) at 11%
- Runner-up: CA Barracas Central (-2.5) at 3%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $108

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Barracas Central (-1.5) | 11¢ | +6pp | $96 | polymarket | /markets/ca-barracas-central-vs-club-olimpia-more-markets-c-polymarket-0xb1c84f31b06e9ed7528593cbf0dc8711dbcf9bafdb68dc11071b50fab0f849ab |
| CA Barracas Central (-2.5) | 3¢ | +24pp | $12 | polymarket | /markets/ca-barracas-central-vs-club-olimpia-more-markets-c-polymarket-0xdb3d6764fa9a9e638d3d050c9314b673ee473a5e1a1c94fe59a991d6b822d50e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | CA Barracas Central (-1.5) | CA Barracas Central (-2.5) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 23 | 21 |
| 2026-05-06 | 11 | 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | 17 | 28 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · CA Barracas Central (-2.5) +24pp 4→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · CA Barracas Central (-2.5) −17pp 21→4¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · CA Barracas Central (-1.5) −12pp 23→11¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · CA Barracas Central (-1.5) +6pp 11→17¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 13% probability that CA Barracas Central will win by 2.5 or more goals against Club Olimpia. The low probability suggests Olimpia is favored or a close match is expected. Argentine Primera División matchups are influenced by team form, recent head-to-head records, home-field advantage, and squad injury status. The fixture outcome will be determined once the match concludes. Key drivers of the probability include relative team rankings, goal-scoring consistency this season, and defensive vulnerabilities. The match result will provide definitive resolution, eliminating all uncertainty around this specific outcome.

### Key factors

- CA Barracas Central's current league position and recent win-loss record versus Club Olimpia's defensive statistics
- Average goals scored and conceded per match by Barracas Central this season relative to the 2.5-goal margin requirement
- Head-to-head historical results and goal differentials between these two clubs in recent matchups
- Whether the match is played at Barracas Central's home stadium, where performance typically differs from away matches
- Injury status or suspension of key attacking or defensive players for either team ahead of the fixture

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca-barracas-central-vs-club-olimpia-more-markets-ca
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ca-barracas-central-vs-club-olimpia-more-markets-ca

## License

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