# CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca-boston-river-vs-millonarios-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:50:14.836Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: Millonarios FC at 52%
- Runner-up: Draw (CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC) at 28%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $44

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios FC | 52¢ | +54pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-boston-river-vs-millonarios-fc-millonarios-fc-polymarket-0x3f58021a6260f125586f59c464bf81bad079a86ccfa09205d2914eaa7c1d3fff |
| Draw (CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC) | 28¢ | −30pp | $34 | polymarket | /markets/ca-boston-river-vs-millonarios-fc-draw-ca-boston-r-polymarket-0xd2d0947b39a7c51e012e8dc251639abcf8d0ea328d55db3538220ab11076c9e8 |
| CA Boston River | 21¢ | +1pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/ca-boston-river-vs-millonarios-fc-ca-boston-river-polymarket-0x996963839ac2322ef546ceb132396f50db9efef90d007a601407449c62d6ac1e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Millonarios FC | Draw (CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC) | CA Boston River |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | — | — | 23 |
| 2026-05-06 | — | 28 | 21 |
| 2026-05-07 | 46 | 30 | 22 |
| 2026-05-08 | 100 | 0 | — |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Millonarios FC +54pp 46→100¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Draw (CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC) −30pp 30→0¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability indicates Millonarios FC is favored to win an upcoming match against CA Boston River, with current market pricing at 51% relative to a 28% chance of a draw. The prediction reflects comparative team strength, recent form, and venue considerations. Movement in this probability would depend on team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—and historical head-to-head performance. The outcome will be determined once the match concludes. Current trading volume is minimal, suggesting limited market participation and potentially wider bid-ask spreads. Analysts evaluating this matchup would examine each team's league position, goal differential, recent results, and home-field advantage before match day.

### Key factors

- Millonarios FC's current league standing and win percentage this season versus CA Boston River's defensive record and goal-scoring output
- Recent form over the last 5-10 matches for each team, including streaks of wins, losses, or draws that might indicate momentum shifts
- Head-to-head historical results if available, including goals scored and conceded in prior matchups between these specific clubs
- Availability of key players or known injuries that could materially affect starting lineups or team performance
- Home venue advantage and any relevant environmental factors (altitude, weather conditions, travel fatigue) for the scheduled match date

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca-boston-river-vs-millonarios-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ca-boston-river-vs-millonarios-fc

## License

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