# CA Juventud vs. Academia Puerto Cabello

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 20 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca-juventud-vs-academia-puerto-cabello
Updated: 2026-05-04T00:05:52.609Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 30% / Polymarket 31% — 1pp spread
- 24h volume: $38

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro) | 26¢ | — | $38 | polymarket | /markets/ca-juventud-vs-ca-mineiro-draw-ca-juventud-vs-ca-m-polymarket-0xdb36e31bcd15ab88701a67d073f00dd1ff8040493e190149c679a6c0c36452ca |
| CS Cienciano | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-cs-ciencia-polymarket-0x1b0f429a92048466a2dd954934acb0974c5129304516d4a91b25a9c45a5bce64 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x57efa30b3c2f0e8a06f15a8aacc77ba0ad4aebf88d388bec3b4af0b81e84fc4b |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 45¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-academia-p-polymarket-0xe3e33b815520ed1d71e9692af242326afe7d587c4666d9647a80ae66e41c3545 |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xc7befbe440ede25371adc8b78ebabaa40aa67d60eccbd7552d804e073947da6f |
| CS Cienciano (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x9c88781673f99b1adbeed2763c6d18ddb6c360f7f54f334402520facc88f2195 |
| Draw (Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano) | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-draw-acade-polymarket-0x5148d09f9912dcc3097d85cfbf0d0496c7619eeb5456cc0a5f17b3152f15bf9f |
| CS Cienciano (-2.5) | 11¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xd9e4b92d6364a2d290c171bbd83fb1f7ff5dde8d7ea0a9ece7b597be09c654cc |
| Academia Puerto Cabello (-2.5) | 13¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xfe442ee170c5214e6c6951ef7949afd2834cfd0079dac5801f9fd9f8a1a9dd9c |
| O/U 1.5 | 74¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x4a9cea80bdc446048226a183870a59750f582f14c8f29f1c4634743193e4f5f4 |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0xcdb8fe0b21ea323726b72ece8dcc0d30833ef8024499592b6636fb44338544e4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x3760860d50243405f52ebd806b1a3ef70a932c0dfaa01db8b1282514a03686e3 |
| Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5) | 17¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cs-cienciano-more-marke-polymarket-0x4a12042216de3e5aae5cd32778902b842db86baf2cf7171b9e5651f34bdd15f7 |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 40¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cienciano-winner-academ-kalshi-kxconmebolsudgame-26may05apccie-apc |
| Tie | 25¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cienciano-winner-tie-kalshi-kxconmebolsudgame-26may05apccie-tie |
| Cienciano | 24¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/academia-puerto-cabello-vs-cienciano-winner-cienci-kalshi-kxconmebolsudgame-26may05apccie-cie |
| CA Mineiro (-2.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-juventud-vs-ca-mineiro-more-markets-ca-mineiro-polymarket-0x414244e0e384aeb0519c3b99ecb100f7891a5dc8150928f48291c131cf69122c |
| O/U 1.5 | 76¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-juventud-vs-ca-mineiro-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xe6b23a2d52a1dbe48299b8d5931a8055b30f3e657f9ad4da6fae93dbea6029ea |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-juventud-vs-ca-mineiro-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x1768e0527dcc99f6f11410b5b532846f500949e23b407e6ba87af1191495f921 |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-juventud-vs-ca-mineiro-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x8d75f49efcdf88d7c546646b5e4b246bb9fdc2c357cadecbe7cae952ea1d344f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 29 |
| 2026-05-02 | 30 |
| 2026-05-03 | 31 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Academia Puerto Cabello (-2.5) +10pp 13→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · CS Cienciano (-2.5) +8pp 11→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 4.5 −5pp 18→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score +4pp 50→54¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca-juventud-vs-academia-puerto-cabello
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ca-juventud-vs-academia-puerto-cabello

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.