# CA-34 Primary Winners

> Jimmy Gomez leads at 95%, runner-up 79% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 35 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca34-primary-winners
Updated: 2026-05-29T23:20:10.240Z
Category: general · Topic: election-2026
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-02

## Headline

- Leader: Jimmy Gomez at 95%
- Runner-up: Angela Gonzales-Torres at 79%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $176

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Gomez | 95¢ | +10pp | $144 | polymarket | /markets/ca-34-primary-winners-jimmy-gomez-polymarket-0xc785b7bd404b24b833f55dff284ca3a18c18103d957f799d97c13f0fbfb941db |
| Angela Gonzales-Torres | 79¢ | +2pp | $32 | polymarket | /markets/ca-34-primary-winners-angela-gonzales-torres-polymarket-0x2595374069c3144f77b50cf92608a94f3a02dc59a14dd7d3a52ae32d24dfdb0e |
| Calvin Lee | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-34-primary-winners-calvin-lee-polymarket-0x1d5dc6fabe350f9ac5e5bdfd7090e772afcf8724e3a778923590e0d7d472c921 |
| Robert Lucero | 5¢ | −17pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-34-primary-winners-robert-lucero-polymarket-0xe05c257921a6f33f100330234d30f92e159d3c760a15b4cadc7623b1d102eeb4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Jimmy Gomez | Angela Gonzales-Torres | Calvin Lee |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 88 | 82 | 12 |
| 2026-05-22 | — | 63 | 11 |
| 2026-05-23 | 96 | 63 | 11 |
| 2026-05-29 | 95 | 80 | 8 |

_13 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-25 · Jimmy Gomez −42pp 96→54¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-26 · Jimmy Gomez +27pp 54→81¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-29 · Robert Lucero −17pp 34→17¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-28 · Angela Gonzales-Torres +13pp 65→78¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-25 · Angela Gonzales-Torres +12pp 63→75¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca34-primary-winners
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ca34-primary-winners
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.