# CA-45 Primary Winners

> Closed. Last odds frozen 11 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca45-primary-winners
Updated: 2026-06-11T01:20:12.452Z
Category: general · Topic: election-2026
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-02

## Headline

- Leader: Chuong Vo at 64%
- Runner-up: Chi Charlie Nguyen at 17%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $312

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuong Vo | 64¢ | +16pp | $47 | polymarket | /markets/ca-45-primary-winners-chuong-vo-polymarket-0x16fb3f08a2589239624eb854f728fbea142e197e41ee6ffbd7f80bd147f9f42f |
| Chi Charlie Nguyen | 17¢ | +2pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/ca-45-primary-winners-chi-charlie-nguyen-polymarket-0x57536d59bbf8b75b164ead4b6b579cad979b75f2fc407e6f8a545860cde1a91c |
| Tom Vo | 13¢ | −5pp | $32 | polymarket | /markets/ca-45-primary-winners-tom-vo-polymarket-0x85695b61993d8ed738f33dec76f931ae9e584c9b67d91a5ad7c936e75966f421 |
| Mark Leonard | 3¢ | −1pp | $204 | polymarket | /markets/ca-45-primary-winners-mark-leonard-polymarket-0xbe8e69a4cf0a4cc446f4b9dd47fa589f705e7959535453cc5d0161a55d02cb94 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Chuong Vo | Chi Charlie Nguyen | Tom Vo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 54 | — | 47 |
| 2026-05-19 | 55 | 9 | 43 |
| 2026-05-28 | 70 | 23 | 30 |
| 2026-06-04 | 71 | 11 | 14 |
| 2026-06-10 | 77 | 9 | 8 |

_25 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-10 · Chuong Vo +16pp 61→77¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-04 · Chuong Vo +11pp 60→71¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-06 · Chuong Vo −10pp 72→62¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-10 · Tom Vo −5pp 13→8¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ca45-primary-winners
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ca45-primary-winners
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.