# Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cableave
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:35:30.952Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: historical
Closes: 2027-01-02

## Headline

- Leader: Before Jan 2027 at 85%
- Runner-up: Before Dec 2026 at 78%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $5K

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 2027 | 85¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-jan-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-27jan |
| Before Dec 2026 | 78¢ | — | $475 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-dec-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-26dec |
| Before Nov 2026 | 62¢ | — | $304 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-nov-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-26nov |
| Before Oct 2026 | 52¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-oct-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-26oct |
| Before Sep 2026 | 42¢ | — | $236 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-sep-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-26sep |
| Before Aug 2026 | 30¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-aug-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-26aug |
| Before Jul 2026 | 21¢ | — | $101 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-jul-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-26jul |
| Before Jun 2026 | 10¢ | — | $15 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-member-of-trumps-cabinet-leave-before-jun-kalshi-kxcableave-26may-26jun |

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cableave
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cableave
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.