# Will the Bank of Canada overnight rate on December 31, 2026 be exactly 2.00%

> Exactly 2.25% leads at 42%, runner-up 34% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/canoreoy
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:41.035Z
Category: economy
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Leader: Exactly 2.25% at 42%
- Runner-up: Exactly 2.50% at 34%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2.25% | 42¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-bank-of-canada-overnight-rate-on-december-kalshi-kxcanoreoy-26dec31-e2.25 |
| Exactly 2.50% | 34¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-bank-of-canada-overnight-rate-on-december-kalshi-kxcanoreoy-26dec31-e2.50 |
| Exactly 2.75% | 8¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-bank-of-canada-overnight-rate-on-december-kalshi-kxcanoreoy-26dec31-e2.75 |
| Exactly 2.00% | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-bank-of-canada-overnight-rate-on-december-kalshi-kxcanoreoy-26dec31-e2.00 |
| Exactly 3.00% | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-bank-of-canada-overnight-rate-on-december-kalshi-kxcanoreoy-26dec31-e3.00 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Exactly 2.25% | Exactly 2.50% | Exactly 2.75% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 41 | 34 | 7 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/canoreoy
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=canoreoy

## License

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