# FC Supra Du Quebec vs HFX Winner

> Closed. Final outcome: yes. Last odds frozen 4 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/canplgame
Updated: 2026-05-05T00:50:42.714Z
Category: general
Status: resolved
Closes: 2026-10-05

## Headline

- Probability: 76% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $5K
- Resolved: yes

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver FC | 76¢ | +2pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/pacific-vs-vancouver-fc-winner-vancouver-fc-kalshi-kxcanplgame-26may03pacvan-van |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 41 |
| 2026-05-01 | 41 |
| 2026-05-02 | 42 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/canplgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=canplgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.