# CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Universitario de Deportes

> Closed. Last odds frozen 6 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-coquimbo-unido-vs-club-universitario-de-deportes
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:50:14.836Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-08

## Headline

- Leader: CD Coquimbo Unido at 43%
- Runner-up: Draw (CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Universitario de Deportes) at 34%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $14K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Coquimbo Unido | 43¢ | +4pp | $13K | polymarket | /markets/cd-coquimbo-unido-vs-club-universitario-de-deporte-polymarket-0x8f8f412ffc34d283a1330ea79ec37bae77d52eea4719122d49d3105d928f46f7 |
| Draw (CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Universitario de Deportes) | 34¢ | +1pp | $395 | polymarket | /markets/cd-coquimbo-unido-vs-club-universitario-de-deporte-polymarket-0x714dbacecfe1abfc3b51d885d1c5b3096dc98f11adda555fdf9a5bbbe02063bd |
| Club Universitario de Deportes | 26¢ | +1pp | $468 | polymarket | /markets/cd-coquimbo-unido-vs-club-universitario-de-deporte-polymarket-0xc82ff5dcb15433a0456d7718472fb04f55f597ed908a2084154e4579fafaae98 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | CD Coquimbo Unido | Draw (CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Universitario de Deportes) | Club Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 45 | 32 | 24 |
| 2026-05-07 | 43 | 32 | 26 |
| 2026-05-08 | 47 | 33 | 27 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · CD Coquimbo Unido +4pp 43→47¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 35% probability reflects the aggregated expectation across two markets that CD Coquimbo Unido will not defeat Club Universitario de Deportes in an upcoming match. The current level suggests a lean toward Universitario, though the outcome remains genuinely uncertain. Key drivers include team form, head-to-head history, and current league positioning. The resolution will depend on the actual match result on the scheduled date. Market participants are pricing in Universitario as slight favorites, but the 35% assigned to Coquimbo indicates meaningful probability of an upset or draw, depending on the market's settlement rules.

### Key factors

- CD Coquimbo Unido's recent win-loss record and goal differential compared to Club Universitario de Deportes heading into the match
- Head-to-head historical performance between these two teams, including results from the current and previous seasons
- Current league standings and points differential, which may reflect underlying quality gaps
- Availability of key players due to injury or suspension for either squad before match day
- The match outcome on the scheduled date, which will definitively resolve the contract

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-coquimbo-unido-vs-club-universitario-de-deportes
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-coquimbo-unido-vs-club-universitario-de-deportes

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.