# CD Cuenca vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - More Markets: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)

> O/U 1.5 leads at 63%, runner-up 43% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-markets-ca-san
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:43.985Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 63%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 43%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 63¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0xa69c04b9a3b1f405a96f72e12e4f36331b05c9a4a44e59782a8eb6d224561624 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0xf0d8161fb0cf05edc7279a950e469ee97ab1d0f698121d346ffa618384bfe509 |
| O/U 2.5 | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x2dbc76c5cc0a29bc139406ee9478ca87ebe60fc29ab059b91f6bad88a7dc988c |
| O/U 3.5 | 16¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x8d5ad448158e42b7ff046b678b97ea6f512575fcc530502aed0167d1034dbe44 |
| CD Cuenca (-1.5) | 15¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x671eed8d16b2f048e595d650cf32638e6eb43cc94f70afcae3eb73f6e7260707 |
| CD Cuenca (-2.5) | 12¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x0ba8c8a71abb0ec2119bcb26712fd510596ad0b5897db11c0828c96e0f9aaa51 |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x252a645866d0f42036918666a968a7cd8695128ad1248698019d33e473779369 |
| CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5) | 11¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0x198a70c09b493b8e0bf9d233398d4cd41ba353cd7d60301ca038a8db00dac331 |
| O/U 4.5 | 6¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-market-polymarket-0xc4dd638c0f758186525a1818baef4867425fbdbb21903fa3909871ea5fac8eeb |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | 47 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | 63 | 45 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · CD Cuenca (-1.5) +6pp 18→24¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 27% probability that CA San Lorenzo de Almagro will win by 1.5 or more goals against CD Cuenca. The probability is driven by San Lorenzo's typical league standing and form relative to Cuenca's defensive or offensive metrics. Key factors affecting this level include San Lorenzo's recent performance trajectory, Cuenca's home-field advantage, head-to-head historical matchups, and current squad availability. The match outcome will be determined on the scheduled game date, which resolves all uncertainty. The cross-venue consistency (1 percentage point gap) suggests relatively stable market pricing across major platforms, though minimal trading volume in related contracts indicates limited recent interest in this specific fixture.

### Key factors

- San Lorenzo's league position and recent win/loss record versus Cuenca's defensive record and goals conceded
- Cuenca's home-field advantage and historical performance in this fixture (if applicable)
- Squad availability, injuries, or suspensions affecting either team's attacking or defensive capacity
- The match's geographic and travel context (altitude, distance) if playing in Ecuador
- Relative league strength and historical scoring patterns between the two teams' respective competitions

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-markets-ca-san
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-cuenca-vs-ca-san-lorenzo-de-almagro-more-markets-ca-san

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.