# CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana

> Closed. Last odds frozen 21 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-guadalajara-vs-club-tijuana
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:35:30.952Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Probability: 26% (liquidity-weighted across 13 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (13 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia) | 34¢ | +5pp | $2K | polymarket | /markets/ca-barracas-central-vs-club-olimpia-draw-ca-barrac-polymarket-0x56b99e08aa98928f055e0e6f0490d58a7eb0c26d89c9db450bd099de789ce1d8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 40¢ | −9pp | $332 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x6495f74913a1a4b90a71658c3d5837f174b49dc8078a1de854d3a922b5cf7b3b |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | −4pp | $99 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xfdd357904976eecb735dafdc4290a16944355e04fb579a734bc6b4a10cd399cb |
| CD Tolima (-2.5) | 6¢ | +20pp | $53 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xe39b53cc6e56ef3b794d56089bd9c423d93cd45ea17ab97da86fb771480be126 |
| O/U 3.5 | 17¢ | −4pp | $20 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x3c0f5f3aea6ef7547c858fb365c7b8075f59577d743448941442029191695d9f |
| Club Nacional de Football (-1.5) | 8¢ | −4pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xa229d814c0cfd5d1b08fe3cb257ef751317a948c8282b05e9b5abbd46ef4a31e |
| National Bank of Egypt Club (-1.5) | 23¢ | +8pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x21ed5aba5907f2ff4e00718c5dd36c1a349116f982ae00f4e44f1eafb5d15e0d |
| Club Nacional de Football (-2.5) | 3¢ | +3pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xbb148bed811390380b0e78496c32b55114ad30d56a12ecc4a2ea600300b8bc47 |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | −19pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x491b922a9ca612e784c2bc1d6719fdbb5a2e2123c8aa34577c74360e9fdfd453 |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x3e4cd18c12ca4f8e211f379156f7b2b95a309807f2789c32285453fccfbdc9a0 |
| Ismaily SC (-1.5) | 5¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xaa1d2cf2e3fb0c19ffa4ed284b48d773535b110c5f32aebad7c9f6bab9136cde |
| National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5) | 8¢ | +11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x5d63d2f688c2e4b13f5e7bd161cd631fb069fdb4b896d52314d980484ec8892c |
| CD Tolima (-1.5) | 22¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x404209171166b118cf63d3e3f1f1a4cca653dcbd737f4286da40654005230d40 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 35 |
| 2026-05-06 | 26 |
| 2026-05-07 | 27 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Ismaily SC (-1.5) −32pp 37→5¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5) −30pp 37→7¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · CD Tolima (-2.5) +20pp 6→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 3.5 −20pp 39→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 1.5 −19pp 65→46¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-guadalajara-vs-club-tijuana
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-guadalajara-vs-club-tijuana

## License

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