# CD Los Chankas vs. CD Garcilaso - More Markets: CD Los Chankas (-1.5)

> O/U 1.5 leads at 72%, runner-up 51% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-cd-los-chankas
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:05:56.862Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-04

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 72%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 51%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xb23ff5b6451879add5133bdfb572f60609effd5a2dc6f1ec9c316de1dfebbc2b |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x324efc09328bf3304e8983df8f431c69e931e4284f191fbb2bccc9d81282b8c6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xaa7a3ea663cad325cead63ca9fcca7285e6bc20f1678f5b467c43bb36491cb6d |
| CD Los Chankas (-1.5) | 24¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-cd-los-polymarket-0x90114b0b1c3c98fa6d0ae73c6d3f2b35ce99d3fbf1b8c84c94e9c0686a54f932 |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x6f92e99f1284cf294a4946732140a83cd1062692b6f0fbc1a2662ecc650757f5 |
| O/U 4.5 | 10¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x34c090d697d0d70ddd4addd8298b9d9a430566a82786f660dbb003d046cfbb23 |
| CD Los Chankas (-2.5) | 10¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-cd-los-polymarket-0x9249239d89dbaa443926dda79e1e3e3d30778f2af7e2b3103b6d8f72a661cc1c |
| CD Garcilaso (-1.5) | 7¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-cd-gar-polymarket-0x714e3bd8dec020d780f8e49158195508d718e730b40946f9a0c198a2d3995238 |
| CD Garcilaso (-2.5) | 6¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-cd-gar-polymarket-0x58a0c0be9a2659b891f627bf73e2a921eb366a28abca0c5adf20a2315e7793c9 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | CD Los Chankas (-1.5) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 71 | 52 | 16 |
| 2026-05-02 | 71 | 51 | 20 |
| 2026-05-03 | 71 | 51 | 21 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · CD Los Chankas (-2.5) −6pp 17→11¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · CD Los Chankas (-1.5) +4pp 16→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 3.5 +3pp 20→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · CD Los Chankas (-2.5) −3pp 11→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · CD Garcilaso (-2.5) −3pp 9→6¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market estimates a 33% probability that CD Los Chankas will win by more than 1.5 goals against CD Garcilaso in an upcoming Peruvian football match. The relatively low probability reflects market participants' view that Los Chankas are unlikely to achieve a margin of victory exceeding a single goal, suggesting either a close contest or a Garcilaso victory in most scenarios. The probability is driven by the teams' recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage dynamics. The match result will directly resolve this contract, providing clarity on Los Chankas' offensive capability and Garcilaso's defensive strength. Market movement depends on team news, injury reports, and any shifts in betting consensus leading up to kickoff.

### Key factors

- CD Los Chankas' recent goal-scoring rate and conversion efficiency in league play compared to historical averages
- CD Garcilaso's defensive record over the last 5-10 matches, particularly goals conceded per game
- Home or away status of the match and the respective teams' performance differential in those contexts
- Head-to-head results between these teams over the past 2-3 seasons and average goal margins
- Current league standings and momentum indicators (win streaks, goal differential trends) for both clubs

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-cd-los-chankas
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-los-chankas-vs-cd-garcilaso-more-markets-cd-los-chankas

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