# CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente - More Markets: CA Independiente (-2.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 28% across 20 contracts — refreshed 30 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-riestra-vs-ca-independiente-more-markets-ca
Updated: 2026-05-03T12:05:44.792Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Probability: 28% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xb4cd80e3412a2737eb14d990736e8d6adfad75e6aac6bd32eeecb8864b8104dc |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x40633c2276af9f1982d3f919553af750dfe4d763a443056d9c52de4c6191f8d8 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd92e3c6facd7cfe3772dc6c05c64835117ff536547aa381a46e39188f1b328a1 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x5735da3e7d2a090ad05c030f77efb55ebc2288982ec45be75358f0e57d648821 |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x65835d9cb539cf33b6489619365554af29a588a1cee0ddd74e727d6981c3d417 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x379684abeac1f75e84192a96d0f4b9ab5f5fa1231c2577c7062e90c6c5b8337b |
| Fluminense FC (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xff496f3de17ada028aa13a378c1749532a6b538409094f56ea1734e14ce81114 |
| O/U 3.5 | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x8b09a61747807aac72d01b9c57762c496de365271792470e7f0828c65206fc9e |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) | 8¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x559461c25f175b01a1cbf6e4b72940b22f539eaf75dd59ecaca75722a2fd3557 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 16¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x71f745c092060c8f80e06e6bed5141039827ad2a3fb79dfbb6322455bd9b44e7 |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd128a438d67165805df816880348c9da14f4a48c449293d0a25e97f0e23233d7 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x96cfcd71ed45e08b312ba37155767a1409aa65d9265dd47e691650b966761513 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x13712fed686d2b8c9fb4a3cfb1024a67967a412094efa5871638bff56c6025b6 |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x4fe6145be9c1a8444114672c2bbfc3eea1f40e63269229c5a134c0a62b097662 |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5) | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x43d406716ebb5b3949e627516fd9fd8163a81dc7b6dcf2d7c86d8f037121e39b |
| Fluminense FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x5fff26d17fdf67b340805d5b33198f2874e8301b3e6629c8e8109612edb03c5a |
| O/U 1.5 | 68¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xd8a7d5d547100b2270933248df7428d9017f6b931f9308bed03ab382d22b4976 |
| O/U 2.5 | 43¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x7353429eea6a19c8f51656bb2b78b9febb4e23463eb4f3115e62e575cf46ad9d |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x9ff78c27fda30e5b9dbe59ba5899c2dd5001db91eb9f6991bba3e152776590df |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x194275bf9d1a7c94e4887c587acd8bf599128c991f1b9ee8f6aae320d828ae7e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 52 |
| 2026-05-03 | 27 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-riestra-vs-ca-independiente-more-markets-ca
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-riestra-vs-ca-independiente-more-markets-ca

## License

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