# CD Riestra vs. Grêmio FBPA - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 2 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-07T00:50:58.911Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 57%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 41%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $7

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 57¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x13e665e5a1842f5829a0eef232b3c6597eb33f9d6dad27c02c2e43c7977d5923 |
| Both Teams to Score | 41¢ | −40pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-both-teams-t-polymarket-0x33ab08ffc42814709d4f9f11aa8a9816ecd2aa1be92e8867574b07fc0a76dfb5 |
| O/U 2.5 | 31¢ | — | $1 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x47cce0d3fbddd846405bb6801ccdbba16dbdce7dc16865528e1ac86df28f4716 |
| O/U 3.5 | 14¢ | −15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xb86c0270c5c25bad4a7aa9849abe691a013186fb53aba51af1e8b5f36ad4e733 |
| CD Riestra (-1.5) | 12¢ | −22pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-cd-riestra-1-polymarket-0xb9a1c0038e64329cbac54cfa47ebe85b1bee2cd9649c024809852b10361318b0 |
| Grêmio FBPA (-1.5) | 11¢ | +78pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-grmio-fbpa-1-polymarket-0xe873fe50fc9482570a9ecacfa189458b51ccd653085f94ed4733c594dec9a5b1 |
| O/U 4.5 | 7¢ | −20pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xc7601fc53255543b0b6c16e64e0f981a397893a6f907a8b89b8b560f71b7db86 |
| CD Riestra (-2.5) | 5¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-cd-riestra-2-polymarket-0xe21ef75a0fe8fbfe2fae2dc60c024d9462ac2f7b8b57c74349f9a8fb401584f6 |
| Grêmio FBPA (-2.5) | 5¢ | +88pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets-grmio-fbpa-2-polymarket-0x00611105a63ba1d00753541a964f5da45731283276efa6459a7e04bcf6565a96 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 60 | 40 | 32 |
| 2026-05-06 | — | 0 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Grêmio FBPA (-2.5) +88pp 12→100¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Grêmio FBPA (-1.5) +78pp 22→100¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Both Teams to Score −40pp 40→0¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · CD Riestra (-1.5) −22pp 22→0¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 4.5 −20pp 20→0¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability reflects the likelihood that CD Riestra and Grêmio FBPA play additional matches beyond their scheduled fixture. At 28%, the market implies this outcome is viewed as less probable than not, suggesting most traders expect the primary match to conclude without requiring supplementary games. The current level likely reflects standard expectations for fixture scheduling in their respective leagues, with upward pressure coming from tournament formats that permit replays or extended competition rounds, and downward pressure from formats that resolve matches decisively. The key catalyst is the official tournament structure and any relevant playoff or advancement rules that would determine whether additional matches are mandated or possible. Recent changes to league scheduling or unexpected circumstances (fixture congestion, scheduling conflicts) could shift expectations materially.

### Key factors

- Tournament format rules: whether the competition permits or requires replays, extra time resolution, or multi-leg fixtures that would trigger 'more markets'
- Current league scheduling status: any publicly announced fixture backlog, congestion, or calendar constraints affecting these teams that might necessitate rescheduling or additional matches
- Historical precedent: frequency with which CD Riestra and Grêmio FBPA have played multiple matches in single competition cycles, if applicable
- Playoff or advancement mechanics: whether these teams' competitive positions demand extended rounds or additional qualifying matches under current rules
- Market liquidity and contract volume: the low 24-hour volumes across top contracts suggest limited trader conviction, indicating high uncertainty in expectations

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-riestra-vs-grmio-fbpa-more-markets

## License

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