# CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. CDT Real Oruro - More Markets: CDT Real Oruro (-2.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 22% across 2 contracts — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-san-antonio-bulo-bulo-vs-cdt-real-oruro-more-markets-cdt
Updated: 2026-06-08T05:20:11.193Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2028-06-29

## Headline

- Probability: 22% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 22% / Polymarket 22% — 0pp spread
- 24h volume: $1.5M

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | 22¢ | −2pp | $1.1M | kalshi | /markets/will-the-san-antonio-win-the-2026-pro-basketball-f-kalshi-kxnba-26-sas |
| San Antonio Spurs | 22¢ | −1pp | $352K | polymarket | /markets/2026-nba-champion-san-antonio-spurs-polymarket-0xb6b3d7a2037b3faa7e1306d741840d453432902d73cc9a146a035e40271eae73 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 19 |
| 2026-05-25 | 24 |
| 2026-06-01 | 64 |
| 2026-06-07 | 22 |

_30 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-06 · San Antonio Spurs −24pp 47→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-06 · San Antonio −22pp 46→24¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-03 · San Antonio Spurs +22pp 42→64¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-01 · San Antonio +20pp 44→64¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-04 · San Antonio −14pp 64→50¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-san-antonio-bulo-bulo-vs-cdt-real-oruro-more-markets-cdt
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-san-antonio-bulo-bulo-vs-cdt-real-oruro-more-markets-cdt

## License

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