# CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football - More Markets: CD Tolima (-1.5)

> O/U 1.5 leads at 66%, runner-up 44% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-markets-cd
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:50:53.009Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 66%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 44%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xfdd357904976eecb735dafdc4290a16944355e04fb579a734bc6b4a10cd399cb |
| Both Teams to Score | 44¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xcc83d19bb81e566ab17d083cfe0197824ede59e29dc065407eecb5fc378ec4a4 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x6495f74913a1a4b90a71658c3d5837f174b49dc8078a1de854d3a922b5cf7b3b |
| CD Tolima (-1.5) | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x404209171166b118cf63d3e3f1f1a4cca653dcbd737f4286da40654005230d40 |
| O/U 3.5 | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xdd5582bfba78c459746737cc153c3e700125883fb2ad744915f0a37a374ea4ed |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xbb6532dcc365610777d9f19af2a256a8ad05cf7bc8dd28606aebebe8a1579186 |
| Club Nacional de Football (-1.5) | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xa229d814c0cfd5d1b08fe3cb257ef751317a948c8282b05e9b5abbd46ef4a31e |
| CD Tolima (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xe39b53cc6e56ef3b794d56089bd9c423d93cd45ea17ab97da86fb771480be126 |
| Club Nacional de Football (-2.5) | 7¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xbb148bed811390380b0e78496c32b55114ad30d56a12ecc4a2ea600300b8bc47 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Both Teams to Score | CD Tolima (-1.5) | O/U 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 43 | 33 | 21 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market reflects a 33% probability that CD Tolima will defeat Club Nacional de Football by a margin of 2+ goals. The current level suggests market participants view Club Nacional as the slight favorite or expect a closer contest. Key drivers of the probability include historical head-to-head performance between these Colombian and Uruguayan clubs, current team form and injury status, and home-field advantage considerations. The match resolution itself serves as the immediate catalyst—once played, the outcome will determine whether the prediction was accurate. Low trading volume across related contracts suggests limited market activity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads, which could indicate low overall interest or confidence in these price levels.

### Key factors

- Historical win rates and goal differential patterns in prior matchups between CD Tolima and Club Nacional
- Recent league performance, goal-scoring trends, and defensive records for both teams in their respective domestic competitions
- Venue location and home-field advantage factor (whether the match is played in Colombia or Uruguay)
- Team roster availability, including confirmed injuries, suspensions, or recent roster changes that affect playing strength
- Market pricing across related contracts (moneyline and over-under odds) for consistency and to identify potential arbitrage signals

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-markets-cd
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-markets-cd

## License

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