# CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)

> O/U 1.5 leads at 70%, runner-up 58% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-cd
Updated: 2026-05-03T22:50:51.791Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 70%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 58%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 70¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0xe4a29d751d14018d8448c1e19597c562acff51a0ca472d9aab10de6d4f1d7751 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0xb669de478d0b7262fc30fed5c561c0c2834e836ba14fd3a698670dcb88721baf |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0x164f43ce7d33f14d2354498cca82981a89108d89e5307ca5643ba6fa232e5e38 |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0xde80960f08969ebf88300a8bf7a178b5c5d6670690378c58f698936350afc4da |
| Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) | 16¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0xd7d8f701629d5d13a4cf1486051b095bc3c1e49e9f18dd9acfa8b98c62276414 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0x31951d2799e3e0398cb83cd160ba9c30e693bd31ac882b8c695641ddb549fba5 |
| CD Universidad Católica (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0x34cc52af92fd22facecab82444be83c5c419ddbc61c78acd8335b86e7f0f06dd |
| Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0x3e4bfc6c120a70f2889df5649df1af0ebb4d2b13b09aff89a35f48b860b877e0 |
| CD Universidad Católica (-1.5) | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-polymarket-0x49cffaca26e5e3c0cba9192ada82a59cb714e96f7423af67992fb77b31da0f8c |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 70 | 59 | 25 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market is pricing a 30% probability that CD Universidad Católica will win by at least 2 goals against Cruzeiro EC. The relatively low probability reflects Cruzeiro's status as a stronger Brazilian Serie A club competing against a Chilean opponent. Key drivers of movement include recent form and goal-scoring patterns of both teams, historical head-to-head performance, and lineup availability. The match result will resolve the contract when the final whistle sounds, providing definitive clarity on whether Universidad Católica achieves a convincing victory margin. Related over/under markets suggest traders expect a competitive, lower-scoring match overall.

### Key factors

- CD Universidad Católica's current domestic form and goal differential compared to their typical seasonal output
- Cruzeiro EC's defensive record in away matches against South American opponents outside Brazil
- Historical matchup data between these clubs, if any, or comparable recent meetings between Chilean and Brazilian teams at similar competitive levels
- Team news regarding availability of key strikers or defensive players that would directly impact scoring potential
- Market liquidity remains minimal (zero 24-hour volume reported), suggesting limited conviction among traders and potentially wide bid-ask spreads

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-cd
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-more-markets-cd

## License

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