# CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC

> Cruzeiro EC leads at 38%, runner-up 34% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 14 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec
Updated: 2026-05-03T22:36:01.135Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: Cruzeiro EC at 38%
- Runner-up: CD Universidad Católica at 34%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $102

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro EC | 38¢ | −2pp | $102 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-cruzeiro-ec-polymarket-0xd752fa28fa9f7e7604ed1798ca5cae8d43b295e23ae4f7760be2c8e39120fd21 |
| CD Universidad Católica | 34¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-cd-universid-polymarket-0xd2fbb137201cc3ee94532f4c623ac76b8aedfe14d74b02c60633472a1e5754bd |
| Draw (CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec-draw-cd-univ-polymarket-0xad799613dfc60801047dedeee3bb3f8a3d581e99b9e8cc1f0ce96c5525a8ab4b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Cruzeiro EC | Draw (CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 39 | 31 |
| 2026-05-03 | 37 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This 31% probability reflects market expectations that CD Universidad Católica will defeat Cruzeiro EC in an upcoming match. The current price suggests Cruzeiro is favored, with related contracts showing split sentiment across different score thresholds. The probability could move significantly based on team form leading into the match, any lineup changes or injury reports, and historical head-to-head performance. Market depth appears limited, indicated by zero 24-hour volume across most contracts, meaning the price is sensitive to new information or larger trades. The match outcome will be determined once the fixture is played, at which point the contract will settle based on the final result.

### Key factors

- Recent form and win rates for both clubs in their respective domestic leagues heading into the fixture
- Availability of key players due to injury, suspension, or international duty commitments
- Historical head-to-head record between CD Universidad Católica and Cruzeiro EC, if applicable
- The specific match venue and whether either team has a documented home/away performance differential
- Current market depth and trading volume, which at $0 24h volume suggests low liquidity and potentially wide bid-ask spreads

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cd-universidad-catlica-vs-cruzeiro-ec

## License

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