# CDT Real Oruro vs. FC Universitario - More Markets: CDT Real Oruro (-1.5)

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cdt-real-oruro-vs-fc-universitario-more-markets-cdt-real
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:20:14.662Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: CDT Real Oruro (-1.5) at 30%
- Runner-up: CDT Real Oruro (-2.5) at 17%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDT Real Oruro (-1.5) | 30¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cdt-real-oruro-vs-fc-universitario-more-markets-cd-polymarket-0x7bbb5dd74ef7eea997fcfbaebd97fa32ab0833e9b3f583900247d88dc290d927 |
| CDT Real Oruro (-2.5) | 17¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cdt-real-oruro-vs-fc-universitario-more-markets-cd-polymarket-0x9b4b5a1c29f46a766a237c0b5e1642d95713a8c917130006187ccf354e355289 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | CDT Real Oruro (-1.5) | CDT Real Oruro (-2.5) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 34 | 26 |
| 2026-05-07 | 31 | 20 |
| 2026-05-08 | 30 | 18 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · CDT Real Oruro (-2.5) −6pp 26→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · CDT Real Oruro (-1.5) −3pp 34→31¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 38% probability that CDT Real Oruro will win by 2 or more goals against FC Universitario. The pricing suggests modest confidence in a decisive Oruro victory, though significant uncertainty remains. Key drivers of the current level include each team's recent form, goal-scoring capability, and defensive consistency in their league. The probability will move based on team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—and historical head-to-head performance. The match itself will provide the definitive resolution, with the exact outcome determining whether the 38% assessment was calibrated correctly. Low trading volume suggests limited liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads on these contracts.

### Key factors

- CDT Real Oruro's recent goal differential and conversion rate compared to FC Universitario's defensive record in the current season
- Absence of major injury reports or suspensions for either team's key attacking or defending players
- Historical head-to-head results between the two clubs, including goal margins in prior matchups
- Home/away advantage status of CDT Real Oruro and documented performance variance across venues
- Current league standings and momentum trends for both teams in the 2-3 matches leading up to kickoff

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/cdt-real-oruro-vs-fc-universitario-more-markets-cdt-real
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=cdt-real-oruro-vs-fc-universitario-more-markets-cdt-real

## License

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