# Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati

> Charlotte FC leads at 45%, runner-up 30% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/charlotte-fc-vs-fc-cincinnati
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:11.910Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: Charlotte FC at 45%
- Runner-up: FC Cincinnati at 30%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $853

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte FC | 45¢ | +1pp | $676 | polymarket | /markets/charlotte-fc-vs-fc-cincinnati-charlotte-fc-polymarket-0x79f45ecee563ffe514831288e08213e19b1fa6b42c390460cafd9d0f939ada8b |
| FC Cincinnati | 30¢ | +1pp | $162 | polymarket | /markets/charlotte-fc-vs-fc-cincinnati-fc-cincinnati-polymarket-0x73231395deda4f4f249f41d65e4796c2285152f25a50e3867bdaa58e2831d1bd |
| Draw (Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati) | 26¢ | ±0 | $16 | polymarket | /markets/charlotte-fc-vs-fc-cincinnati-draw-charlotte-fc-vs-polymarket-0x90bd24fa7eb9524b0d0795832785a0f054f7db96e1625a918cb64a0941977f22 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Charlotte FC | FC Cincinnati | Draw (Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 45 | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 46 | 31 | — |
| 2026-05-08 | 45 | 30 | 25 |
| 2026-05-09 | 46 | 31 | 25 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability indicates that Charlotte FC is currently favored to win an upcoming match against FC Cincinnati, with a 47% implied chance based on prediction market pricing. The relatively modest edge reflects uncertainty typical of competitive matchups between MLS teams. Key factors likely driving this assessment include recent team form, head-to-head record, home-field advantage (if applicable), and injury status of key players. The probability will shift as match day approaches and new information emerges about team preparation and player availability. The match itself will provide definitive resolution once played, making this a near-term, binary outcome.

### Key factors

- Charlotte FC's recent win-loss record and goal differential compared to FC Cincinnati's over the last 5-10 matches
- Home venue status and historical performance differential at each stadium
- Current injury or suspension status of starting players, particularly attacking and defensive key contributors
- Head-to-head record between the teams in the regular season and any relevant playoff history
- Market volume and trading activity remains at $0 over 24 hours, suggesting limited conviction or information flow updating prices

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/charlotte-fc-vs-fc-cincinnati
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=charlotte-fc-vs-fc-cincinnati

## License

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