# Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 81%, runner-up 59% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 4 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:14.232Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 81%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 59%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $166

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 81¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-ou-1-polymarket-0x794892a0f00a5a3217408ea165deb451de0e6ed32133db5daffbed963ea18906 |
| O/U 2.5 | 59¢ | +1pp | $64 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-ou-2-polymarket-0xe352e4e5d58f98ba4f80da0e735c8ac65eeb73cae24212cfc06a4135a55fbcbf |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-both-polymarket-0xbcf015c883c13a08e2d2895e2a422c2709886c5a7a709536f2bd50e563de6570 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) | 41¢ | +1pp | $91 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-chen-polymarket-0xdf1bac2569b38b1eb8183619389df6c3226f573769a1c933e84bed836b3e8201 |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-ou-3-polymarket-0x42c48f0da6cbdfbf8c747681365943080951a00e108a9d82b62166db65fa0884 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5) | 21¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-chen-polymarket-0x7468d13d9b6b27ddb419a33931f5c3b992d6f6f50d5e78ab127ab3d0eca0bd8d |
| O/U 4.5 | 19¢ | +1pp | $1 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x1836690c52dd2ade65812c9af735d753579761c5647ab0009afef251cba80845 |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 5¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets-hena-polymarket-0x2903ca5440bcd0e4c4f73817c8e546ee88da3d0a722914239ce1699aee24fd2f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 82 | 60 | 56 |
| 2026-05-07 | 82 | 61 | 56 |
| 2026-05-08 | 83 | — | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Henan FC (-1.5) −6pp 13→7¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Henan FC (-1.5) −3pp 7→4¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 51% probability indicates that market participants see both teams scoring as slightly more likely than not in this matchup between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Henan FC. The betting activity is concentrated on spread outcomes (Henan -1.5/-2.5 and Chengdu -1.5/-2.5), with prices clustered around 28–37 cents, suggesting balanced uncertainty about which team wins and by how much. Both Teams to Score trades at 51 cents because recent performance, playing styles, or squad composition make attacking efficiency and defensive vulnerability roughly symmetrical. The market will resolve when the match concludes; the exact date and current season context determine whether defensive organization or offensive momentum dominates. Notably, there has been zero trading volume in the past 24 hours across all contracts, indicating low liquidity and limited new information flow.

### Key factors

- Both Teams to Score is priced at 51¢ with no 24-hour volume, suggesting the market is static rather than actively repricing on fresh data
- Chengdu and Henan's spread contracts are evenly distributed (33¢ and 37¢ for comparable spreads), indicating symmetric uncertainty about the winner and margin
- The gap between Both Teams to Score (51¢) and the runner-up outcome (37¢) shows this outcome is modestly favored but not overwhelming
- Zero trading volume across all five contracts indicates thin liquidity and reduced confidence in any single narrative
- Historical goal-scoring rates, current squad injuries, and recent form for both clubs will be the primary determinant of whether the prediction holds at match resolution

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=chengdu-rongcheng-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-markets

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