# Chicago Stars FC vs. Boston Legacy FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 42% across 19 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chicago-stars-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:51:03.386Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 42% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 39% / Polymarket 46% — 7pp spread
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Breach | 14¢ | +3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-boston-breach-win-the-boston-breach-vs-paris-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031800bospar-bos |
| LOUD | 42¢ | +1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-loud-win-the-vivo-keyd-stars-vs-loud-league-o-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031500vkslll-lll |
| Paris Gentle Mates | 85¢ | +1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-paris-gentle-mates-win-the-boston-breach-vs-p-kalshi-kxcodgame-26may031800bospar-par |
| Vivo Keyd Stars | 57¢ | +1pp | $687 | kalshi | /markets/will-vivo-keyd-stars-win-the-vivo-keyd-stars-vs-lo-kalshi-kxlolgame-26may031500vkslll-vks |
| NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?: Yes | 23¢ | −1pp | $657 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-number-of-unemployment-rate-exceeds-10-mo-kalshi-kxcitrini-28jul01 |
| Denver Summit FC | 33¢ | — | $452 | kalshi | /markets/boston-legacy-fc-vs-denver-summit-fc-winner-denver-kalshi-kxnwslgame-26may03bosden-den |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| Boston Breach | 11¢ | −3pp | $248 | kalshi | /markets/will-boston-breach-win-map-1-in-the-boston-breach-kalshi-kxcodmap-26may031800bospar-1-bos |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 33¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| Over 3.5 maps | 56¢ | −18pp | $145 | kalshi | /markets/will-over-35-maps-be-played-in-the-boston-breach-v-kalshi-kxcodtotalmaps-26may031800bospar-4 |
| Tie | 27¢ | +5pp | $97 | kalshi | /markets/boston-legacy-fc-vs-denver-summit-fc-winner-tie-kalshi-kxnwslgame-26may03bosden-tie |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | +3pp | $43 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 25 |
| 2026-04-19 | 24 |
| 2026-04-27 | 24 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |

_19 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · Over 3.5 maps +26pp 2→28¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Over 3.5 maps +18pp 28→46¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Over 3.5 maps −18pp 46→28¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chicago-stars-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=chicago-stars-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets

## License

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