# Shenzhen Peng City vs Beijing Guoan Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 20 contracts — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chnslgame
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:35:28.448Z
Category: general · Topic: china
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-01

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $383

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 33¢ | — | $287 | kalshi | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-winner-chongqi-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05chohen-cho |
| Liaoning Tieren | 12¢ | +3pp | $92 | kalshi | /markets/liaoning-tieren-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-winner-liaoni-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05litchr-lit |
| Shanghai Port | 58¢ | — | $4 | kalshi | /markets/shanghai-port-vs-shenzhen-peng-city-winner-shangha-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06shpshe-shp |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 38¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/shandong-taishan-vs-shanghai-shenhua-winner-shangh-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05shtshs-shs |
| Yunnan Yukun | 42¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/yunnan-yukun-vs-zhejiang-prof-winner-yunnan-yukun-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06yunzhp-yun |
| Zhejiang Prof. | 27¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/yunnan-yukun-vs-zhejiang-prof-winner-zhejiang-prof-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06yunzhp-zhp |
| Tie | 23¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/yunnan-yukun-vs-zhejiang-prof-winner-tie-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06yunzhp-tie |
| Shenzhen Peng City | 14¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/shanghai-port-vs-shenzhen-peng-city-winner-shenzhe-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06shpshe-she |
| Tie | 16¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/shanghai-port-vs-shenzhen-peng-city-winner-tie-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06shpshe-tie |
| Beijing Guoan | 55¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/beijing-guoan-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-winner-beijing-g-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06bjgdal-bjg |
| Dalian Yingbo FC | 18¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/beijing-guoan-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-winner-dalian-yi-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06bjgdal-dal |
| Tie | 20¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/beijing-guoan-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-winner-tie-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06bjgdal-tie |
| Wuhan Three Towns FC | 44¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/wuhan-three-towns-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-winner-wuha-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06wuhqin-wuh |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 24¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/wuhan-three-towns-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-winner-qing-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06wuhqin-qin |
| Tie | 24¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/wuhan-three-towns-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-winner-tie-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may06wuhqin-tie |
| Henan | 32¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-winner-henan-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05chohen-hen |
| Tie | 28¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-winner-tie-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05chohen-tie |
| Shandong Taishan | 32¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/shandong-taishan-vs-shanghai-shenhua-winner-shando-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05shtshs-sht |
| Tie | 24¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/shandong-taishan-vs-shanghai-shenhua-winner-tie-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05shtshs-tie |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 58¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/liaoning-tieren-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-winner-chengd-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05litchr-chr |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 28 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren +3pp 11→14¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chnslgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=chnslgame
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/china

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.