# Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 20 contracts — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-qingdao-xihaian-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:11.381Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $195

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC | 28¢ | +2pp | $68 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-tianjin-polymarket-0x2991179aa767ba457eea1f77fde7ffa39648cedc64a7c5bb309627b9544ea858 |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 38¢ | +2pp | $57 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-chongqing-t-polymarket-0x903ccc4370f7f20deb743e6ed853814a37e30aa6a33244bebb42306a222db6d5 |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | −1pp | $44 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8508f6f66547a3d128b727e49434f7a9aa93f3e01d02cea7b55b4698e26c067a |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb |
| O/U 2.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x34dea0c254706b6fd913c43aba8ca3870604d03bfc3204ecc5448139d08c204d |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC | 46¢ | −2pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-qingdao-polymarket-0x5734d6c26535c770891eec79ec054a0c2e07aa03c8d220cd11af7d0f2d8fd64b |
| Henan FC | 35¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-henan-fc-polymarket-0x87c7a1b36787f225016c845118acb4b447b7d77db2d91359c24a83a78301b306 |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x07f1918b7e44022505592d3732b0229a949e40fd941cc12611fbbc5dda397772 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0xda368d7772cf6056ee008026bcab0ef79dda7a600213a99d9b1775fccacb516c |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 16¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0xd9d7201e51a45b7af5b16027d8430b1cc07673b39c379e7387b6b803c660ab4c |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2c997e8ea7dec3233847fdf312db2526bf2927fe76a623a176ba361e243e95c4 |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) | 10¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x9e39af4fa5b0c2c2c5a28f6b36fcc6c9f082692202744c70c5866856ec1bbb75 |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5) | 15¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x7b11ba1c6d7a1ad6a5fc857f394a9204c76639bef32d4020c7eea8995283e46e |
| Both Teams to Score | 53¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d0cdeeaa15b01dd351b84751f46ee1a936321d6ca22b9115f7dd02d152a5ef |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5) | 7¢ | +16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x264488d77cede87bc46426356939e5763a5c3350f532966b91fa26a611477bf2 |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) | 19¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x817c8ed93d0ba366891ef64aafa93c326c0c3de3cd93c5ed40dd449b9b72fc3f |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x3ed80522e974fdc46cee79f4dca0a45753bc0bab4a563b6fdfe5f982d945a3e4 |
| O/U 4.5 | 11¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x326ee5e648f50a90bb475152e9f0093b6c1560669b6ae789905e9d9aacdc214b |
| Draw (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC) | 30¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-draw-chongq-polymarket-0x4742f4c55280d1b9446d9ad575bf5ffed6c8e6e1c46b114867491f4f17409a7f |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x6ffa32b3fe4389869e2525bd7365949c713bc91b8a65b665a535047d17e5eeea |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 35 |
| 2026-05-03 | 28 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5) +16pp 14→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) +10pp 25→35¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) −9pp 29→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5) −7pp 30→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Qingdao Xihaian FC +6pp 42→48¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-qingdao-xihaian-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-qingdao-xihaian-fc

## License

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