# Will Alberto Gines Lopez win the World Climbing Series Wujiang 2026 Men's Lead

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 12% across 6 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/climbing
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:41.230Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 12% (liquidity-weighted across 6 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $8

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Gines Lopez | 16¢ | — | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-alberto-gines-lopez-win-the-world-climbing-se-kalshi-kxclimbing-26wujleadmay-agin |
| Sorato Anraku | 19¢ | — | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-sorato-anraku-win-the-world-climbing-series-w-kalshi-kxclimbing-26wujleadmay-sanr |
| Satone Yoshida | 10¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-satone-yoshida-win-the-world-climbing-series-kalshi-kxclimbing-26wujleadmay-syos |
| Neo Suzuki | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-neo-suzuki-win-the-world-climbing-series-wuji-kalshi-kxclimbing-26wujleadmay-nsuz |
| Dohyun Lee | 15¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dohyun-lee-win-the-world-climbing-series-wuji-kalshi-kxclimbing-26wujleadmay-dlee |
| Shion Omata | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-shion-omata-win-the-world-climbing-series-wuj-kalshi-kxclimbing-26wujleadmay-soma |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 13 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/climbing
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=climbing

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.