# Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 65%, runner-up 49% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:20:51.035Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 49%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x8233314001b038e0e888d37b20465004fc6edd2db9d6d8c4e3f49e6da1e5d919 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0xfab9acba8faba56c1dd787262479842e2e72ae28d4c0884ed5c92b5ea94ea061 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0xf11ea279e98fe97d6a7db3b810eefbb096a00bb962710385f2c4592145284b49 |
| O/U 3.5 | 21¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x80dc4f3600db75e1be65545303e7dcf8b6f91d734dc1daa124c381e2774aa83e |
| América de Cali (-1.5) | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x96b339448e2986f241a96c14108ee4882a3e471bd1e64e048d17a082d584c2ac |
| América de Cali (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x29a631a118c304d9cd4c919646fb54d45266be29a87088c2c62e2d6a2a6fe20d |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x5d229ce3aa57b88d33abcde3ae9544dec0dcc8631bb70ee879174824ce23d749 |
| Club Alianza Atlético (-1.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x3f614366905f80462f462ae2015d4e9100b8814288110b459933faa0313d9432 |
| Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0xef168aefd79cbbda7b27be016b39d5e1c4c00b34492e99b88123be7ebd64e777 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 66 | 49 | 22 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This 25% probability represents the aggregated market assessment of the likelihood for Club Alianza Atlético versus América de Cali in an upcoming sporting matchup. The 10 percentage point gap between Kalshi (18%) and Polymarket (28%) suggests some disagreement about the outcome, potentially reflecting different trader composition or information access across venues. The primary drivers of the current probability level include recent team performance metrics, head-to-head historical records, and current player availability or injury status. The main catalyst for resolving this uncertainty will be the actual match date and result. Until that fixture occurs, markets will likely adjust based on confirmed team lineups, any interim performance by either club, and betting flow updates from major sports data providers.

### Key factors

- Polymarket contracts trade 10 percentage points higher than Kalshi equivalents, indicating meaningful disagreement between venue participants on the outcome likelihood
- Recent fixture results and goal differential for both Club Alianza Atlético and América de Cali determine baseline performance expectations
- Player availability, confirmed injuries, or lineup changes announced immediately before the match typically trigger significant probability shifts
- Historical head-to-head records and home/away venue effects establish baseline performance differentials between the two clubs
- 24-hour trading volume on contracts ranges from $22 to $2,890, with lower-volume contracts potentially reflecting thinner liquidity and wider bid-ask spreads

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-markets

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