# Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar

> Club Bolívar leads at 48%, runner-up 29% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/club-blooming-vs-club-bolvar
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:20:22.849Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: Club Bolívar at 48%
- Runner-up: Club Blooming at 29%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Bolívar | 48¢ | ±0 | $10 | polymarket | /markets/club-blooming-vs-club-bolvar-club-bolvar-polymarket-0x2f743cb19fd028f3e7b3edcf4ac48093eb956c04d2283a8a20f6101c982fa382 |
| Club Blooming | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-blooming-vs-club-bolvar-club-blooming-polymarket-0x0cf41c5addea7591d3c7a0b312212a8a80fbaa3e097e9bb58a14ee17e728d3d9 |
| Draw (Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar) | 24¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-blooming-vs-club-bolvar-draw-club-blooming-vs-polymarket-0xd56821bd9b73c9fb621b0a6f004cb61a50c745f25ef260b3e160a62ef1f92c64 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Club Bolívar | Club Blooming | Draw (Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 2026-05-07 | 45 | 25 | 23 |
| 2026-05-08 | 48 | 28 | 24 |
| 2026-05-09 | 48 | 29 | 23 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Draw (Club Blooming vs. Club Bolívar) −10pp 33→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Club Bolívar +3pp 45→48¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Club Blooming +3pp 25→28¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that Club Bolívar will win an upcoming match against Club Blooming. At 47%, Bolívar is favored but without commanding odds—Club Blooming has a 29% implied chance, and a draw is priced at 23%. The current level likely reflects recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage if applicable. Market pricing would shift upward for Bolívar if key players return from injury or if Blooming suffers unexpected absences; it would move lower if Blooming demonstrates improved performance in training or recent matches. The match outcome itself will resolve all uncertainty once final whistle occurs. Trading volume has been minimal ($10 in 24 hours across contracts), suggesting limited recent market interest despite the three-way outcome structure.

### Key factors

- Club Bolívar's win probability at 47% reflects a modest favorite position rather than strong dominance, with Blooming given a 29% chance
- No substantial 24-hour trading volume on the Blooming or Draw contracts suggests low recent conviction or information flow into the market
- Head-to-head record, current league standings, and recent form of both teams are primary factors determining which direction the odds would move
- Injury status of key players, particularly for Bolívar, would be a concrete catalyst for probability shifts in either direction
- Match date and venue (home vs. away) are deterministic factors likely already priced in but worth confirming against the contract terms

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/club-blooming-vs-club-bolvar
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=club-blooming-vs-club-bolvar

## License

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