# Club Necaxa vs. CD Guadalajara

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 18 contracts — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/club-necaxa-vs-cd-guadalajara
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:35:52.612Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 18 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 48% / Polymarket 29% — 19pp spread
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (18)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otakar Esports | 6¢ | +1pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-otakar-esports-win-the-ucam-esports-club-vs-o-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26may031400ucamota-ota |
| CA Lanús | 22¢ | — | $260 | polymarket | /markets/club-always-ready-vs-ca-lans-ca-lans-polymarket-0x4eec59e01470b72978c3eb8d56e7610e1e53db931b6fc627b1cd4f6c489c304b |
| UCAM Esports Club | 90¢ | +48pp | $251 | kalshi | /markets/will-ucam-esports-club-win-the-ucam-esports-club-v-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26may031400ucamota-ucam |
| Ismaily SC (-2.5) | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xd8cc8e7ce91b78e9f94dd031d031fe1799684028b35e52ff51d372d1e609ab19 |
| Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-barracas-central-vs-club-olimpia-draw-ca-barrac-polymarket-0x56b99e08aa98928f055e0e6f0490d58a7eb0c26d89c9db450bd099de789ce1d8 |
| Club Always Ready (-1.5) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-always-ready-vs-ca-lans-more-markets-club-alw-polymarket-0x2e9327d3fc06b834c10d798e26e1da1682fca58506cc66136cd0b86f9a62c801 |
| National Bank of Egypt Club (-1.5) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x21ed5aba5907f2ff4e00718c5dd36c1a349116f982ae00f4e44f1eafb5d15e0d |
| O/U 3.5 | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x3c0f5f3aea6ef7547c858fb365c7b8075f59577d743448941442029191695d9f |
| National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5) | 24¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x5d63d2f688c2e4b13f5e7bd161cd631fb069fdb4b896d52314d980484ec8892c |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x6495f74913a1a4b90a71658c3d5837f174b49dc8078a1de854d3a922b5cf7b3b |
| CD Tolima (-1.5) | 23¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x404209171166b118cf63d3e3f1f1a4cca653dcbd737f4286da40654005230d40 |
| CD Tolima (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xe39b53cc6e56ef3b794d56089bd9c423d93cd45ea17ab97da86fb771480be126 |
| CA Rosario Central (-2.5) | 19¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ca-rosario-central-vs-club-libertad-more-markets-c-polymarket-0x178a18f318990fe5e5e0543e2ed12941dac3b6f0e307b6ffe60800456150e4f2 |
| Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xf2f098f5eda100471264ebf59f81e0bf9e4b54a5525d64d5fea2fc319552756f |
| Both Teams to Score | 44¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xcc83d19bb81e566ab17d083cfe0197824ede59e29dc065407eecb5fc378ec4a4 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x3e4cd18c12ca4f8e211f379156f7b2b95a309807f2789c32285453fccfbdc9a0 |
| Club Bolívar (-1.5) | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xf9ba9e37163b942d21fe87d4a37ac1ee10be7dc3a38950355e1acedc5ad3120c |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xfdd357904976eecb735dafdc4290a16944355e04fb579a734bc6b4a10cd399cb |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 5 |
| 2026-05-01 | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | 22 |
| 2026-05-03 | 37 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · UCAM Esports Club +48pp 15→63¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · UCAM Esports Club +11pp 4→15¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Otakar Esports +8pp 5→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · CA Rosario Central (-2.5) +4pp 19→23¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/club-necaxa-vs-cd-guadalajara
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=club-necaxa-vs-cd-guadalajara

## License

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