# Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras

> SE Palmeiras leads at 54%, runner-up 26% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/clube-do-remo-vs-se-palmeiras
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.440Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: SE Palmeiras at 54%
- Runner-up: Draw (Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras) at 26%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $356

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE Palmeiras | 54¢ | — | $277 | polymarket | /markets/clube-do-remo-vs-se-palmeiras-se-palmeiras-polymarket-0x6540070f6b499bdd323601527e996fdfcf107f0a3f1d82a868fecdf016dced08 |
| Draw (Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras) | 26¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/clube-do-remo-vs-se-palmeiras-draw-clube-do-remo-v-polymarket-0xb7fb8f3a7be424bee5cbf5844e145b781358811c46af4b81dd1d43d605d1500d |
| Clube do Remo | 21¢ | +1pp | $79 | polymarket | /markets/clube-do-remo-vs-se-palmeiras-clube-do-remo-polymarket-0xb703bf06a60e241efd92af7db565d1b82bef9ebae1a947bf917074a8b4580604 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | SE Palmeiras | Draw (Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras) | Clube do Remo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 54 | 26 | 21 |
| 2026-05-07 | — | 25 | — |
| 2026-05-08 | — | — | 22 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that a match between Clube do Remo and SE Palmeiras will end in a draw at 25%, with a Clube do Remo victory priced at 21%. The draw outcome is currently the most-favored result. Factors influencing these prices include the relative strength of both teams, their recent form, and historical head-to-head performance. The match itself will be the primary catalyst that resolves this market, determining whether the draw odds were justified or whether one side outperformed expectations. Lower trading volume on the draw contract suggests limited recent price movement or conviction in either direction.

### Key factors

- Draw is priced as most likely outcome (25¢) despite draw markets often attracting less liquidity than winner markets
- Clube do Remo win probability (21¢) sits close to but notably below the draw, indicating modest confidence in either team to secure three points
- The $52 24-hour volume on Clube do Remo contract versus $0 on draw contract shows trading activity concentrated on one side
- Historical matchup records, current league standings, and recent form of both teams would materially affect draw probability
- Match kickoff time and date remain key unknowns that could influence final price before contract settlement

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/clube-do-remo-vs-se-palmeiras
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=clube-do-remo-vs-se-palmeiras

## License

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