# Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC

> Colorado Rapids SC leads at 49%, runner-up 27% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/colorado-rapids-sc-vs-st-louis-city-sc
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:40.588Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: Colorado Rapids SC at 49%
- Runner-up: St. Louis City SC at 27%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $807

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids SC | 49¢ | ±0 | $363 | polymarket | /markets/colorado-rapids-sc-vs-st-louis-city-sc-colorado-ra-polymarket-0xe2cc1b6586025d5720d715f41bcd2d532e6f479d65713d7c2f2d760a81eba361 |
| St. Louis City SC | 27¢ | −1pp | $279 | polymarket | /markets/colorado-rapids-sc-vs-st-louis-city-sc-st-louis-ci-polymarket-0x9c3307d6d5f6ce586f3d60cb7c6e4843f1ef32f29a04aa416d20bf014b2c6acf |
| Draw (Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC) | 25¢ | — | $165 | polymarket | /markets/colorado-rapids-sc-vs-st-louis-city-sc-draw-colora-polymarket-0x3c3de1d72803b799330314d55e1461ee950b787b4a5352e4b55eb383d05ecdaf |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Colorado Rapids SC | St. Louis City SC | Draw (Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 48 | 27 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 49 | 28 | — |
| 2026-05-08 | 49 | 27 | 26 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that Colorado Rapids will defeat St. Louis City in their upcoming match. The Rapids are favored at 46%, while St. Louis City is valued at 28%, with draws priced at 25%. Historically recent form, home-field advantage, injury status, and head-to-head records typically influence MLS match outcomes. The fixture itself will determine the result definitively, resolving all uncertainty around tactical execution and in-game performance. Currently, Colorado holds a marginal edge in the prediction market, though the three-way outcome structure means no single result is heavily favored. The modest volume and tight pricing suggest limited market participation at this stage.

### Key factors

- Colorado Rapids' recent league position and win-loss record relative to St. Louis City's current standings
- Home vs. away designation and how venue advantage historically impacts outcomes between these two teams
- Head-to-head matchup history between Colorado and St. Louis, including goals scored and defensive records in prior meetings
- Key player availability, injuries, or suspensions that affect either team's lineup depth or tactical options
- Pre-match momentum indicators such as streaks, goals conceded/scored in the last 5 games, and team discipline metrics

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/colorado-rapids-sc-vs-st-louis-city-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=colorado-rapids-sc-vs-st-louis-city-sc

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