# Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 25% across 4 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/columbus-crew-vs-los-angeles-galaxy
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.202Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-06-02

## Headline

- Probability: 25% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $4K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt | 67¢ | +14pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-karen-bass-and-spencer-pratt-be-the-nominees-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-kbasspra |
| Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass | 23¢ | −5pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-nithya-raman-and-karen-bass-be-the-nominees-i-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-nramkbas |
| Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt | 6¢ | −10pp | $626 | kalshi | /markets/will-nithya-raman-and-spencer-pratt-be-the-nominee-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-nramspra |
| Spencer Pratt vs. Adam Miller | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-spencer-pratt-and-adam-miller-be-the-nominees-kalshi-kxlamayormatchup-26jun-spraamil |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 20 |
| 2026-04-25 | 20 |
| 2026-05-02 | 26 |
| 2026-05-08 | 33 |

_22 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt +28pp 21→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass −18pp 51→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt −16pp 32→16¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt +14pp 49→63¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt −10pp 16→6¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/columbus-crew-vs-los-angeles-galaxy
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=columbus-crew-vs-los-angeles-galaxy

## License

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