# Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 1000000000 for fiscal year 2026

> Above $1M leads at 93%, runner-up 80% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/commgifts
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.539Z
Category: markets · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Leader: Above $1M at 93%
- Runner-up: Above $10M at 80%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1M | 93¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-amount-of-department-of-commerce-gi-kalshi-kxcommgifts-26sep30-t1000000 |
| Above $10M | 80¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-amount-of-department-of-commerce-gi-kalshi-kxcommgifts-26sep30-t10000000 |
| Above $100M | 25¢ | — | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-amount-of-department-of-commerce-gi-kalshi-kxcommgifts-26sep30-t100000000 |
| Above $1B | 11¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-amount-of-department-of-commerce-gi-kalshi-kxcommgifts-26sep30-t1000000000 |
| Above $2B | 10¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-amount-of-department-of-commerce-gi-kalshi-kxcommgifts-26sep30-t2000000000 |
| Above $4B | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-amount-of-department-of-commerce-gi-kalshi-kxcommgifts-26sep30-t4000000000 |
| Above $6B | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-amount-of-department-of-commerce-gi-kalshi-kxcommgifts-26sep30-t6000000000 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above $100M | Above $2B |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | — | 10 |
| 2026-05-07 | 26 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/commgifts
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=commgifts
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.