# Will the copper close price be above 5.94 USD/Lbs on Apr 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT

> above $5.68 leads at 90%, runner-up 90% across 20 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/copperd
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:35:57.191Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-29

## Headline

- Leader: above $5.68 at 90%
- Runner-up: above $5.60 at 90%
- Outcomes: 20 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $5.68 | 90¢ | +10pp | $7 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-568-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.68 |
| above $5.60 | 90¢ | −14pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-560-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.60 |
| above $5.64 | 85¢ | ±0 | $10 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-564-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.64 |
| above $5.62 | 84¢ | +5pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-562-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.62 |
| above $5.66 | 84¢ | +4pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-566-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.66 |
| above $5.70 | 82¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-570-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.70 |
| above $5.72 | 82¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-572-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.72 |
| above $5.74 | 81¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-574-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.74 |
| above $5.78 | 81¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-578-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.78 |
| above $5.82 | 80¢ | +4pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-582-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.82 |
| above $5.76 | 80¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-576-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.76 |
| above $5.80 | 80¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-580-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.80 |
| above $5.84 | 76¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-584-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.84 |
| above $5.86 | 71¢ | +2pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-586-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.86 |
| above $5.88 | 64¢ | +3pp | $9 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-588-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.88 |
| above $5.90 | 63¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-590-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.90 |
| above $5.92 | 49¢ | +4pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-592-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.92 |
| above $5.94 | 39¢ | +5pp | $147 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-594-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.94 |
| above $5.96 | 30¢ | +7pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-596-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.96 |
| above $5.98 | 12¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-copper-close-price-be-above-598-usdlbs-on-kalshi-kxcopperd-26may0417-t5.98 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | above $5.68 | above $5.60 | above $5.64 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 88 | 90 | 90 |
| 2026-05-02 | 82 | 76 | 81 |
| 2026-05-03 | 92 | — | 81 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · above $5.60 −14pp 90→76¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · above $5.62 −13pp 89→76¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · above $5.68 +10pp 82→92¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · above $5.64 −9pp 90→81¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · above $5.96 +7pp 28→35¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/copperd
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=copperd

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.